Related papers: Long gaps between sign-changes of Gaussian Station…

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

With motivation from K. D\c{e}bicki and P. Kisowski (2007), in this paper we derive the exact tail asymptotics of $\alpha(t)$-locally stationary Gaussian processes with non-constant variance functions. We show that some certain variance…

It is, perhaps, surprising that the location of the unique supremum of a stationary process on an interval can fail to be uniformly distributed over that interval. We show that this distribution is absolutely continuous in the interior of…

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Suppose that a $d$-dimensional domain is filled with a gas of (in general, interacting) diffusive particles with density $n_0$. A particle is absorbed whenever it reaches the domain boundary. Employing macroscopic fluctuation theory, we…

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

We consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process $X$ on $[0,T]$. The intensity function of $X$ is supposed to be strictly positive and smooth on $[0,T]$ except at the point $\theta$, in which it has either a 0-type singularity (tends to 0 like…

This paper investigates interval estimation for a measurand that is known to be positive. Both the Neyman and Bayesian procedures are considered and the difference between the two, not always perceived, is discussed in detail. A solution is…

Consider an n-fold integrated Brownian motion. We show that a simple change in time and scale transforms it into a stationary Gaussian process. The collection of stationary processes so constructed not only constitutes an interesting family…

We study the spectral properties of a stochastic process obtained by multiplicative inversion of a non-zero-mean Gaussian process. We show that its autocorrelation and power spectrum exist for most regular processes, and we find a…

The spectral gap is estimated for measure-valued diffusion processes induced by the intrinsic/extrinsic derivatives on the space of finite measures over a Riemannian manifold. This provides explicit exponential convergence rate for these…

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

A Bayesian analysis of the probability of a signal in the presence of background is developed, and criteria are proposed for claiming evidence for, or the discovery of a signal. The method is general and in particular applicable to sparsely…

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Consider a real-valued function that can only be observed with stochastic noise at a finite set of design points within a Euclidean space. We wish to determine whether there exists a convex function that goes through the true function…

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

In this paper, we study central and non-central limit theorems for partial sum of functionals of general stationary Gaussian fields. We apply our result to study drift parameter estimation problems for some stochastic differential equations…

In this paper, an estimator of $m$ instants ($m$ is known) of abrupt changes of the parameter of long-range dependence or self-similarity is proved to satisfy a limit theorem with an explicit convergence rate for a sample of a Gaussian…