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We study a family of stationary increment Gaussian processes, indexed by time. These processes are determined by certain measures sigma (generalized spectral measures), and our focus here is on the case when the measure sigma is a singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-02 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , David Levanony

We consider the probability of two large gaps (intervals without eigenvalues) in the bulk scaling limit of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble of random matrices. We determine the multiplicative constant in the asymptotics. We also provide the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-03-19 Benjamin Fahs , Igor Krasovsky

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Statistical dependence between hypotheses poses a significant challenge to the stability of large scale multiple hypotheses testing. Ignoring it often results in an unacceptably large spread in the false positive proportion even though the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Sairam Rayaprolu , Zhiyi Chi

For a zero-mean, unit-variance second-order stationary univariate Gaussian process we derive the probability that a record at the time $n$, say $X_n$, takes place and derive its distribution function. We study the joint distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Michael Falk , Amir Khorrami , Simone A. Padoan

We consider the general branching random walk under minimal assumptions, which in particular guarantee that the empirical particle distribution admits an almost sure central limit theorem. For such a process, we study the large time decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Oren Louidor , Eliad Tsairi

For the random walk among random conductances, we prove that the environment viewed by the particle converges to equilibrium polynomially fast in the variance sense, our main hypothesis being that the conductances are bounded away from…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-29 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

We consider the small deviation probabilities (SDP) for sums of stationary Gaussian sequences. For the cases of constant boundaries and boundaries tending to zero, we obtain quite general results. For the case of the boundaries tending to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Di Nardo , A. G. Nobile , E. Pirozzi , L. M. Ricciardi

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

The zero range process is of particular importance as a generic model for domain wall dynamics of one-dimensional systems far from equilibrium. We study this process in one dimension with rates which induce an effective attraction between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-26 Stefan Grosskinsky , Gunter M. Schuetz , Herbert Spohn

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

With $M(t):=\sup_{s\in[0,t]}A(s)-s$ denoting the running maximum of a fractional Brownian motion $A(\cdot)$ with negative drift, this paper studies the rate of convergence of $\mathbb {P}(M(t)>x)$ to $\mathbb{P}(M>x)$. We define two metrics…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Michel Mandjes , Ilkka Norros , Peter Glynn

We give exponential upper bounds for $P(S \le k)$, in particular $P(S=0)$, where $S$ is a sum of indicator random variables that are positively associated. These bounds allow, in particular, a comparison with the independent case. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

We study the approximation of stationary processes by a simple class of purely deterministic signals. This has an analytic counterpart in the approximation of symmetric positive definite Toeplitz matrices by submatrices of finite rank. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Giorgio Picci , Bin Zhu

Random processes with stationary increments and intrinsic random processes are two concepts commonly used to deal with non-stationary random processes. They are broader classes than stationary random processes and conceptually closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Jongwook Kim

The time-dependent probability density function of a system evolving towards a stationary state exhibits an oscillatory behavior if the eigenvalues of the corresponding evolution operator are complex. The frequencies \omega_n, with which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-06-22 R. Salgado-Garcia

The approximation of integral functionals with respect to a stationary Markov process by a Riemann-sum estimator is studied. Stationarity and the functional calculus of the infinitesimal generator of the process are used to get a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Randolf Altmeyer , Jakub Chorowski

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert
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