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Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

We establish a one-to-one correspondence between (i) exchangeable sequences of random variables whose finite-dimensional distributions are minimum (or maximum) infinitely divisible and (ii) non-negative, non-decreasing, infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Florian Brück , Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

Exchangeability is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics. It allows to model situations where the order of observations does not matter. The classical de Finetti's theorem provides a representation of infinitely…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Alessio Benavoli , Alessandro Facchini , Marco Zaffalon

Let $\Om$ be a Borel subset of $S^\Bbb N$ where $S$ is countable. A measure is called exchangeable on $\Om$, if it is supported on $\Om$ and is invariant under every Borel automorphism of $\Om$ which permutes at most finitely many…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-26 J. Aaronson , H. Nakada , O. Sarig

Let $S$ be a Polish space and $(X_n:n\geq1)$ an exchangeable sequence of $S$-valued random variables. Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P(X_{n+1}\in \cdot\mid X_1,\...,X_n)$ be the predictive measure and $\alpha$ a random probability measure on $S$ such…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

Finite mixture models are statistical models which appear in many problems in statistics and machine learning. In such models it is assumed that data are drawn from random probability measures, called mixture components, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Robert A. Vandermeulen , Clayton D. Scott

Measure-valued Markov chains have raised interest in Bayesian nonparametrics since the seminal paper by (Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 105 (1989) 579--585) where a Markov chain having the law of the Dirichlet process as unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Stephen G. Walker

A relationally exchangeable structure is a random combinatorial structure whose law is invariant with respect to relabeling its relations, as opposed to its elements. Aside from exchangeable random partitions, examples include edge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-22 Harry Crane , Walter Dempsey

In this paper, we consider general Markov chains (MC), specified by the transition probability (kernel) $ P (x, E) $, finitely additive in the second argument. Such MC are studied within the framework of the functional operator treatment.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Alexander Zhdanok , Anna Khuruma

The problem of identifiability of finite mixtures of finite product measures is studied. A mixture model with $K$ mixture components and $L$ observed variables is considered, where each variable takes its value in a finite set with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Seyed Abolfazl Motahari , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali

This article extends the literature on copulas with discrete or continuous marginals to the case where some of the marginals are a mixture of discrete and continuous components. We do so by carefully defining the likelihood as the density…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 David Gunawan , Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

The transition law of every exchangeable Feller process on the space of countable graphs is determined by a $\sigma$-finite measure on the space of $\{0,1\}\times\{0,1\}$-valued arrays. In discrete-time, this characterization amounts to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Harry Crane

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

Many finite-state reversible Markov chains can be naturally decomposed into "projection" and "restriction" chains. In this paper we provide bounds on the total variation mixing times of the original chain in terms of the mixing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

For a stochastically monotone Markov chain taking values in a Polish space, we present a number of conditions for existence and for uniqueness of its stationary regime, as well as for closeness of its transient trajectories. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Sergey Foss , Michael Scheutzow

We review old and new uses of exchangeability, emphasizing the general theme of exchangeable representations of complex random structures. Illustrations of this theme include processes of stochastic coalescence and fragmentation; continuum…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-22 David J. Aldous

A sequence of random variables is exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under variable permutations. We introduce exchangeable variable models (EVMs) as a novel class of probabilistic models whose basic building blocks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Mathias Niepert , Pedro Domingos

In a recent paper, the authors studied the distribution properties of a class of exchangeable processes, called measure-valued P\'{o}lya sequences (MVPS), which arise as the observation process in a generalized urn sampling scheme. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Hristo Sariev , Mladen Savov

We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-30 Malwina J. Luczak

Countable state Markov shifts are a natural generalization of the well-known subshifts of finite type. They are the subject of current research both for their own sake and as models for smooth dynamical systems. In this paper, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mike M. Boyle , Jerome Buzzi , Ricardo Gomez