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Some characterizations of mixed renewal processes in terms of exchangeability and of different types of disintegrations are given. As a consequence, an existence result for mixed renewal processes, providing also a new construction for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras

We provide sharp error bounds for the difference between the transition densities of some multidimensional Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and the fundamental solutions of some fractional in time Partial (Integro) Differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 M. Kelbert , V. Konakov , S. Menozzi

Since 1997 a considerable effort has been spent to study the mixing time of switch Markov chains on the realizations of graphic degree sequences of simple graphs. Several results were proved on rapidly mixing Markov chains on unconstrained,…

In this note we give an example of a nonmeasurable set in the probability space for an infinite sequence of coin flips. The example arises naturally from the notion of an equivariant function, and serves as a pedagogical illustration of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-16 Alexander E. Holroyd , Terry Soo

It is a well-known fact that an exchangeable sequence has empirical distributions that form a reverse-martingale. This paper is devoted to proof of the converse statement. As a byproduct of the proof for the binary case, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Martin Bladt , Dimitry Shaiderman

We study a simple Markov chain, the switch chain, on the set of all perfect matchings in a bipartite graph. This Markov chain was proposed by Diaconis, Graham and Holmes as a possible approach to a sampling problem arising in Statistics. We…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Martin Dyer , Mark Jerrum , Haiko Müller

The partially observable hidden Markov model is an extension of the hidden Markov Model in which the hidden state is conditioned on an independent Markov chain. This structure is motivated by the presence of discrete metadata, such as an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-21 John V. Monaco , Charles C. Tappert

We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

A 1-2 model configuration is a subset of edges of a hexagonal lattice satisfying the constraint that each vertex is incident to 1 or 2 edges. We introduce Markov chains to sample the 1-2 model configurations on 2D hexagonal lattice and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Zhongyang Li

We consider the irreducibility of switch-based Markov chains for the approximate uniform sampling of Hamiltonian cycles in a given undirected dense graph on $n$ vertices. As our main result, we show that every pair of Hamiltonian cycles in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Pieter Kleer , Viresh Patel , Fabian Stroh

Coarse-grained models are widely used to explain the effective behavior of partially observable physical systems with hidden degrees of freedom. Reduction procedures in state space typically disrupt Markovianity and a fluctuation relation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-24 Alberto Garilli , Pedro E. Harunari , Matteo Polettini

The distribution of the "mixing time" or the "time to stationarity" in a discrete time irreducible Markov chain, starting in state i, can be defined as the number of trials to reach a state sampled from the stationary distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Say that a finite group $G$ is mixable if a product of random elements, each chosen independently from two options, can distribute uniformly on $G$. We present conditions and obstructions to mixability. We show that $2$-groups, the…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Gideon Amir , Guy Blachar , Subhajit Ghosh , Uzi Vishne

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

The rate at which dependencies between future and past observations decay in a random process may be quantified in terms of mixing coefficients. The latter in turn appear in strong laws of large numbers and concentration of measure results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-08 Leonid , Kontorovich

The problem of combining p-values is an old and fundamental one, and the classic assumption of independence is often violated or unverifiable in many applications. There are many well-known rules that can combine a set of arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Matteo Gasparin , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We derive rates of convergence for the mixing of operators under infinitely divisible measures in the framework of linear dynamics on Banach spaces. Our approach is based on the characterization of mixing in terms of codifference…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Camille Mau , Nicolas Privault

A natural Bayesian approach for mixture models with an unknown number of components is to take the usual finite mixture model with Dirichlet weights, and put a prior on the number of components---that is, to use a mixture of finite mixtures…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Jeffrey W. Miller , Matthew T. Harrison

This paper introduces a new parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models. the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables, following a hidden Markov model. We propose a dynamic programming algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail
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