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We consider a model of stationary population with random size given by a continuous state branching process with immigration with a quadratic branching mechanism. We give an exact elementary simulation procedure of the genealogical tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Jean-François Delmas , Romain Abraham

Motivated by sample path decomposition of the stationary continuous state branching process with immigration, a general population model is considered using the idea of immortal individual. We compute the joint distribution of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Hongwei Bi

The aim of this paper is to study the large population limit of a binary branching particle system with Moran type interactions: we introduce a new model where particles evolve, reproduce and die independently and, with a probability that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Alexander M. G. Cox , Emma Horton , Denis Villemonais

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. In stochastic descriptions of evolutionary dynamics, such as the Moran process, individuals are chosen randomly for birth and for death. If the same type is chosen for both steps,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Michal Pecho , Josef Tkadlec , Martin A. Nowak

Inference of the marginal likelihood of sample allele configurations using backward algorithms yields identical results with the Kingman coalescent, the Moran model, and the diffusion model (up to a scaling of time). For inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-20 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Repetitions within a given genealogical tree provides some information about the degree of consanguineity of a population. They can be analyzed with techniques usually employed in statistical physics when dealing with fixed point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Paolo De Los Rios , Oscar Pla

We consider a multitype Galton-Watson process that allows for the mutation and reversion of individual types in discrete and continuous time. In this setting, we explicitly compute the time evolution of quantities such as the mean and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-01 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

We demonstrate a vast expansion of the theory of evolutionary stability to finite populations with mutation, connecting the theory of the stationary distribution of the Moran process with the Lyapunov theory of evolutionary stability. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We investigate the evolutionary dynamics of a population structured in phenotype, subjected to trait dependent selection with a linearly moving optimum and an asexual mode of reproduction. Our model consists of a non-local and non-linear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Raphaël Forien , Jimmy Garnier , Florian Patout

We interpret the Moran model of natural selection and drift as an algorithm for learning features of a simplified fitness landscape, specifically genotype superiority. This algorithm's efficiency in extracting these characteristics is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Miles Miller-Dickson , Christopher Rose , C. Brandon Ogbunugafor , I. Saira Mian

The Moran process is a foundational model of genetic drift and mutation in finite populations. In its standard two-allele form with population size $n$, allele counts, and hence allele frequencies, change through stochastic replacement and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

In genetics the Moran model describes the neutral evolution of a bi-allelic gene in a population of haploid individuals subjected to mutations. We show in this paper that this model can be mapped into an influence dynamical process on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Populations evolving under the joint influence of recombination and resampling (traditionally known as genetic drift) are investigated. First, we summarise and adapt a deterministic approach, as valid for infinite populations, which assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-20 Ellen Baake , Inke Herms

For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake

We study the fixation probability for two versions of the Moran process on the random graph $G_{n,p}$ at the threshold for connectivity. The Moran process models the spread of a mutant population in a network. Throughtout the process there…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Alan Frieze , Wesley Pegden

Evolutionary dynamics on graphs can lead to many interesting and counterintuitive findings. We study the Moran process, a discrete time birth-death process, that describes the invasion of a mutant type into a population of wild-type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-23 Laura Hindersin , Arne Traulsen

The goal of this article is to study the limit of the empirical distribution induced by a mutation-selection multi-allelic Moran model, whose dynamic is given by a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain. The rate matrix driving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Bertrand Cloez , Josué Corujo