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We provide new, mild conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of BEKK processes. By exploiting that the processes can be represented as multivariate stochastic recurrence equations, we characterize the tail behavior of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Muneya Matsui , Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

This paper develops a three-dimensional decomposition of volatility memory into orthogonal components of level, shape, and tempo. The framework unifies regime-switching, fractional-integration, and business-time approaches within a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Ziyao Wang , A. Alexandre Trindade , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This paper offers a new approach for estimating and forecasting the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes. On the contrary, we only suppose that the volatility can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Danilo Mercurio , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper, we develop a 4/2 stochastic volatility plus jumps model, namely, a new stochastic volatility model including the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. Our model is highly tractable by applying the Lie symmetries theory…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Wei Lin , Shenghong Li , Xingguo Luo , Shane Chern

To draw inference on serial extremal dependence within heavy-tailed Markov chains, Drees, Segers and Warcho{\l} [Extremes (2015) 18, 369--402] proposed nonparametric estimators of the spectral tail process. The methodology can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 R. A. Davis , H. Drees , J. Segers , M. Warchoł

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is calculated from SPX options and derivatives of VIX are also traded in market, which leads to the so-called ``consistent modeling" problem. This paper proposes a time-changed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng , Xianhua Peng

Pricing and hedging exotic options using local stochastic volatility models drew a serious attention within the last decade, and nowadays became almost a standard approach to this problem. In this paper we show how this framework could be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-24 Andrey Itkin

In this paper, we study the martingale property for a Scott correlated stochastic volatility model, when the correlation coefficient between the Brownian motion driving the volatility and the one driving the asset price process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Khadija Akdim , M'hamed Eddahbi , Mouna Haddadi

We consider a general d-dimensional Levy-type process with killing. Combining the classical Dyson series approach with a novel polynomial expansion of the generator A(t) of the Levy-type process, we derive a family of asymptotic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-01 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

Long Memory Stochastic volatility (LMSV) models capture two standardized features of financial data: the log-returns are uncorrelated, but their squares, or absolute values are (highly) dependent and they may have heavy tails. EGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

In Part II of this paper, we concentrate our analysis on the price dynamical model with the moving average rules developed in Part I of this paper. By decomposing the excessive demand function, we reveal that it is the interplay between…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Li-Xin Wang

In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-08 Ernst Eberlein , Christoph Gerhart , Zorana Grbac

We consider the problem of determining the L\'evy exponent in a L\'evy model for asset prices given the price data of derivatives. The model, formulated under the real-world measure $\mathbb P$, consists of a pricing kernel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-15 George Bouzianis , Lane Hughston

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

Recent financial disasters have emphasised the need to accurately predict extreme financial losses and their consequences for the institutions belonging to a given financial market. The ability of econometric models to predict extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-22 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania

We examine how the most prevalent stochastic properties of key financial time series have been affected during the recent financial crises. In particular we focus on changes associated with the remarkable economic events of the last two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-28 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Faek Menla Ali , Michail Karoglou , Stavroula Yfanti

In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen
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