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Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings

We study the problem of option replication under constant proportional transaction costs in models where stochastic volatility and jumps are combined to capture the market's important features. Assuming some mild condition on the jump size…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Thai Huu Nguyen , Serguei Pergamenschchikov

We develop a procedure for forecasting the volatility of a time series immediately following a news shock. Adapting the similarity-based framework of Lin and Eck (2020), we exploit series that have experienced similar shocks. We aggregate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 David P. Lundquist , Daniel J. Eck

In this paper, we derive comparison results for terminal values of $d$-dimensional special semimartingales and also for finite-dimensional distributions of multivariate L\'{e}vy processes. The comparison is with respect to nondecreasing,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Jan Bergenthum , Ludger Rüschendorf

In transport processes across materials like glasses, living cells, and porous media, the probability density function of displacements exhibits exponential decay rather than Gaussian behavior. We show that this universal behavior of rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-31 R. K. Singh , Stanislav Burov

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

Recently Carr and Wu (2004, 2005) and also Huang and Wu (2004) show that most stochastic processes used in traditional option pricing models can be cast as special cases of time-changed L\'evy processes. In particular these are models which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Lancelot F. James

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-04 Pablo Olivares , Matthew Cane

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

By using lower bound conditions of the L\'evy measure w.r.t. a nice reference measure, the coupling and strong Feller properties are investigated for the Markov semigroup associated with a class of linear SDEs driven by (non-cylindrical)…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Feng-Yu Wang , Jian Wang

We compute the value of a variance swap when the underlying is modeled as a Markov process time changed by a L\'{e}vy subordinator. In this framework, the underlying may exhibit jumps with a state-dependent L\'{e}vy measure, local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-03 Matthew Lorig , Oriol Lozano Carbasse , Rafael Mendoza-Arriaga

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

SVR-GARCH model tends to "backward eavesdrop" when forecasting the financial time series volatility in which case it tends to simply produce the prediction by deviating the previous volatility. Though the SVR-GARCH model has achieved good…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-23 Jun Lu , Shao Yi

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato
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