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L\'{e}vy processes with completely monotone jumps appear frequently in various applications of probability. For example, all popular stock price models based on L\'{e}vy processes (such as the Variance Gamma, CGMY/KoBoL and Normal Inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Daniel Hackmann , Alexey Kuznetsov

This paper focuses on the pricing of the variance swap in an incomplete market where the stochastic interest rate and the price of the stock are respectively driven by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model and Heston model with simultaneous L\'{e}vy…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-15 Ben-zhang Yang , Jia Yue , Nan-jing Huang

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

We relax the strong rationality assumption for the agents in the paradigmatic Kyle model of price formation, thereby reconciling the framework of asymmetrically informed traders with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis, where agents use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-15 Michele Vodret , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Bence Toth , Michael Benzaquen

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

Subordination is an often used stochastic process in modeling asset prices. Subordinated Levy price processes and local volatility price processes are now the main tools in modern dynamic asset pricing theory. In this paper, we introduce…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We price and replicate a variety of claims written on the log price $X$ and quadratic variation $[X]$ of a risky asset, modeled as a positive semimartingale, subject to stochastic volatility and jumps. The pricing and hedging formulas do…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Peter Carr , Roger Lee , Matthew Lorig

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

This paper considers one-dimensional mixed causal/noncausal autoregressive (MAR) processes with heavy tail, usually introduced to model trajectories with patterns including asymmetric peaks and throughs, speculative bubbles, flash crashes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Christian Gouriéroux , Yang Lu , Christian-Yann Robert

This paper studies stochastic mechanisms under which light-tailed latent price dynamics yield realized prices with power-law tails. The realized price is modeled as $P_T=e^{X_T}$, where $X$ is a Markov-modulated L\'evy process and $T$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Won-Ki Seo

Observing prices of European put and call options, we calibrate exponential L\'evy models nonparametrically. We discuss the efficient implementation of the spectral estimation procedures for L\'evy models of finite jump activity as well as…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Yutong Lu , Gesine Reinert , Mihai Cucuringu

We revisit the problem of pricing options with historical volatility estimators. We do this in the context of a generalized GARCH model with multiple time scales and asymmetry. It is argued that the reason for the observed volatility risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Samuel E. Vazquez

We propose an artificial market model based on deterministic agents. The agents modify their ask/bid price depending on past price changes. The temporal development of market price fluctuations is calculated numerically. A probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Aki-Hiro Sato , Hideki Takayasu

In this paper, we present a new bivariate model for the joint description of the Bitcoin prices and the media attention to Bitcoin. Our model is based on the class of the L\'evy processes and is able to realistically reproduce the jump-type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Ekaterina Morozova , Vladimir Panov

We propose a new class of financial volatility models, called the REcurrent Conditional Heteroskedastic (RECH) models, to improve both in-sample analysis and out-ofsample forecasting of the traditional conditional heteroskedastic models. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 T. -N. Nguyen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

We consider a process $X_t$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$, at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,\ldots.$ This process is an It\^{o} semimartingale with stochastic volatility $\sigma_t^2$. Assuming that $X$ has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We report on the emergence of scaling laws in the temporal evolution of the daily closing values of the S\&P 500 index prices and its modeling based on the L\'evy flights in two dimensions (2D). The efficacy of our proposed model is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Hediye Yarahmadi , Abbas Ali Saberi

We develop at-the-money call-price and implied volatility asymptotic expansions in time to maturity for a class of asset-price models whose log returns follow a L\'evy process. Under mild assumptions placing the driving L\'evy process in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-25 Allen Hoffmeyer , Christian Houdré