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For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Leif Doering , Zenghu Li , Gyula Pap

The explicit criteria for several types of ergodicity of one-dimensional diffusions or birth-death processes have been found out recently in a surprisingly short period. One of the criteria is for exponential ergodicity of birth-death…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa chen

Let $\{Y_{n}$, $n \geq 1\}$ be a critical branching process with immigration having finite variance for the offspring number of particles and finite mean for the immigrating number of particles. In this paper, we study lower deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Sadillo Sharipov , Vitali Wachtel

We observe the Galton-Watson Branching Processes. Limit properties of transition functions and their convergence to invariant measures are investigated.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Azam A. Imomov , Erkin E. Tukhtaev

In this paper, we use a linear birth and death process with immigration to model infectious disease propagation when contamination stems from both person-to-person contact and contact with the environment. Our aim is to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

We introduce a class of one-dimensional positive Markov processes generalizing continuous-state branching processes (CBs), by taking into account a phenomenon of random collisions. Besides branching, characterized by a general mechanism…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Clément Foucart , Matija Vidmar

Two types of random evolution processes are studied for ensembles of the standard map with driving parameter $K$ that determines its degree of stochasticity. For one type of processes the parameter $K$ is chosen at random from a Gaussian…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-10-28 Or Alus , Shmuel Fishman

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

We first introduce and derive some basic properties of a two-parameters family of one-sided Levy processes. Their Laplace exponents are given in terms of the Pochhammer symbol. This family includes, in a limit case, the family of Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-10 P. Patie

We establish the joint scaling limit of a critical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with immigration (BGWI) and its (counting) local time at zero to the corresponding self-similar continuous-state branching process with immigration (CBI)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Aleksandar Mijatović , Benjamin Povar , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 M. N. M. van Lieshout

By using the coupling technique, we present sufficient conditions for the exponential ergodicity of general continuous-state nonlinear branching processes in both the $L^1$-Wasserstein distance and the total variation norm, where the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Pei-Sen Li , Jian Wang

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

In this article we focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the subcritical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N_{+}}}$, under the condition that one of the offspring $\xi$ or immigration $\eta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

When particles/molecules diffuse in systems that contain obstacles, the steady-state regime (during which the mean-square displacement scales linearly with time, $\left< r^2 \right> \sim t$) is preceded by a transient regime. It is common…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-08-12 Nicholas Ilow , Gary W. Slater

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo