Related papers: Parameter Estimation in Two-type Continuous-state …
We consider continuous state branching processes (CSBP) with additional multiplicative jumps modeling dramatic events in a random environment. These jumps are described by a L\'evy process with bounded variation paths. We construct a…
We investigate branching processes in nearly degenerate varying environment, where the offspring distribution converges to the degenerate distribution at 1. Such processes die out almost surely, therefore, we condition on non-extinction or…
We study the distribution of the maximal jump of continuous-state branching processes. Several exact expressions and explicit asymptotics of both the local maximal jump and the global maximal jump are obtained. We also compare the…
In this article, we propose a least squares method for the estimation of the transition density in bifurcating Markov models. Unlike the kernel estimation, this method do not use the quotient which can be a source of errors. In order to…
We consider a continuous-time symmetric branching random walk on multidimensional lattices with immigration and infinite number of initial particles. We assume that at every lattice point a process of birth and death of particles is…
In this work, several convergence results are established for nearly critical self-excited systems in which event arrivals are described by multivariate marked Hawkes point processes. Under some mild high-frequency assumptions, the rescaled…
We introduce the Hawkes process with renewal immigration and make its statistical estimation possible with two Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithms. The standard Hawkes process introduces immigrant points via a Poisson process, and each…
Branching processes form an important family of stochastic processes that have been successfully applied in many fields. In this paper, we focus our attention on controlled multi-type branching processes (CMBPs). A Feller-type diffusion…
A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…
We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…
Intermediately subcritical branching processes in random environment are at the borderline between two subcritical regimes and exhibit a particularly rich behavior. In this paper, we prove a functional limit theorem for these processes. It…
Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…
We apply stochastic process theory to the analysis of immigrant integration. Using a unique and detailed data set from Spain, we study the relationship between local immigrant density and two social and two economic immigration quantifiers…
We consider a branching random walk on $d$-dimensional real space with immigration in a time-dependent random environment. Let $Z_n(\mathbf t)$ be the so-called partition function of the process, namely, the moment generating function of…
In this paper the asymptotic behaviour of a critical 2-type Galton-Watson process with immigration is described when its offspring mean matrix is reducible, in other words, when the process is decomposable. It is proved that, under second…
We consider an extended birth-death-immigration process defined on a lattice formed by the integers of $d$ semiaxes joined at the origin. When the process reaches the origin, then it may jumps toward any semiaxis with the same rate. The…
Stability is an important aspect of a classification procedure because unstable predictions can potentially reduce users' trust in a classification system and also harm the reproducibility of scientific conclusions. The major goal of our…
In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…
Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…
A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…