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Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is a powerful tool in information fusion. When the evidence are highly conflicting, the counter-intuitive results will be presented. To adress this open issue, a new method based on evidence distance of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-21 Hongming Mo , Yong Deng

In this paper, we generalize the basic notions and results of Dempster-Shafer theory from predicates to formal concepts. Results include the representation of conceptual belief functions as inner measures of suitable probability functions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Sabine Frittella , Krishna Manoorkar , Alessandra Palmigiano , Apostolos Tzimoulis , Nachoem M. Wijnberg

Design of a fuzzy rule based classifier is proposed. The performance of the classifier for multispectral satellite image classification is improved using Dempster- Shafer theory of evidence that exploits information of the neighboring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-04-11 Arijit Laha , J. Das

We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Kolmogorov, is problematic. We then introduce and discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

The form and justification of inductive inference rules depend strongly on the representation of uncertainty. This paper examines one generic representation, namely, incomplete information. The notion can be formalized by presuming that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Norman C. Dalkey

Current work in lexical distributed representations maps each word to a point vector in low-dimensional space. Mapping instead to a density provides many interesting advantages, including better capturing uncertainty about a representation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-05-04 Luke Vilnis , Andrew McCallum

We study the effectiveness of consensus formation in multi-agent systems where there is both belief updating based on direct evidence and also belief combination between agents. In particular, we consider the scenario in which a population…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Michael Crosscombe , Jonathan Lawry , Palina Bartashevich

Rule based classifiers that use the presence and absence of key sub-strings to make classification decisions have a natural mechanism for quantifying the uncertainty of their precision. For a binary classifier, the key insight is to treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 James Nutaro , Ozgur Ozmen

In this paper, an empirical evaluation of three inference methods for uncertain reasoning is presented in the context of Pathfinder, a large expert system for the diagnosis of lymph-node pathology. The inference procedures evaluated are (1)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-26 David Heckerman

Possibilistic logic bases and possibilistic graphs are two different frameworks of interest for representing knowledge. The former stratifies the pieces of knowledge (expressed by logical formulas) according to their level of certainty,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Salem Benferhat , Didier Dubois , Laurent Garcia , Henri Prade

This paper is concerned with the apparent greatest weakness of the Mathematical Theory of Evidence (MTE) of Shafer \cite{Shafer:76}, which has been strongly criticized by Wasserman \cite{Wasserman:92ijar}. Weaknesses of Shafer's proposal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Mieczysław Kłopotek

This article is an extension of the results of two earlier articles. In [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell. Syst. 8 (1993) 711-725] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a criterion function called the metaconflict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

In the canonical examples underlying Shafer-Dempster theory, beliefs over the hypotheses of interest are derived from a probability model for a set of auxiliary hypotheses. Beliefs are derived via a compatibility relation connecting the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) generalizes Bayesian probability theory, offering useful additional information, but suffers from a high computational burden. A lot of work has been done to reduce the complexity of computations used in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Maxime Chaveroche , Franck Davoine , Véronique Cherfaoui

The categorial approach to evidential reasoning can be seen as a combination of the probability kinematics approach of Richard Jeffrey (1965) and the maximum (cross-) entropy inference approach of E. T. Jaynes (1957). As a consequence of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Robert Kennes

Many resources for forensic scholars and practitioners, such as journal articles, guidance documents, and textbooks, address how to make a value of evidence assessment in the form of a likelihood ratio (LR) when deciding between two…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-11 Steven Lund , Hari Iyer

Mathematical models connect theory with the real world through data, enabling us to interpret, understand, and predict complex phenomena. However, scientific knowledge often extends beyond what can be empirically measured, offering valuable…

The roles played by decision factors in making complex subject are decisions are characterized by how these factors affect the overall decision. Evidence that partially matches a factor is evaluated, and then effective computational rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Gerald Shao-Hung Liu

In this paper, we describe a representation for spatial information, called the stochastic map, and associated procedures for building it, reading information from it, and revising it incrementally as new information is obtained. The map…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Randall Smith , Matthew Self , Peter Cheeseman

Bayesian networks provide an elegant formalism for representing and reasoning about uncertainty using probability theory. Theyare a probabilistic extension of propositional logic and, hence, inherit some of the limitations of propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristian Kersting , Luc De Raedt