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In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

We present a modified diffusive epidemic process that has a finite threshold on scale-free graphs. The diffusive epidemic process describes the epidemic spreading in a non-sedentary population, and it is a reaction-diffusion process. In the…

Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

We are interested in the spread of an epidemic between two communities that have higher connectivity within than between them. We model the two communities as independent Erdos-Renyi random graphs, each with n vertices and edge probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 David Sivakoff

A significant generalization of the Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graph model is an `inhomogeneous' random graph where the edge probabilities vary according to vertex types. We identify the threshold value for this random graph with a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Hamin Jung

We study a one parameter family of random graph models that spans a continuum between traditional random graphs of the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi type, where there is no underlying structure, and percolation models, where the possible edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-02 Oskar Sandberg

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran

Mathematical disease modelling has long operated under the assumption that any one infectious disease is caused by one transmissible pathogen spreading among a population. This paradigm has been useful in simplifying the biological reality…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-02 Blake J. M. Williams , Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

We develop a theoretical framework for the study of epidemic-like social contagion in large scale social systems. We consider the most general setting in which different communication platforms or categories form multiplex networks.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 E. Cozzo , R. A. Baños , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-04 Anna Saumell-Mendiola , M. Ángeles Serrano , Marián Boguñá

A random graph model with prescribed degree distribution and degree dependent edge weights is introduced. Each vertex is independently equipped with a random number of half-edges and each half-edge is assigned an integer valued weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fredrik Liljeros

We show existence of a non-trivial phase transition for the contact process, a simple model for infection without immunity, on a network which reacts dynamically to the infection trying to prevent an epidemic. This network initially has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 John Fernley , Peter Mörters , Marcel Ortgiese

In spite of the study of epidemic dynamics on single-layer networks has received considerable attention, the epidemic dynamics on multiplex networks is still limited and is facing many challenges. In this work, we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-03 Huan Wang , Chuang Ma , Hanshuang Chen , Haifeng Zhang

We develop a theory for the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on networks that incorporate both network structure and dynamic correlations. This theory can account for the multistage onset of the epidemic phase in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-07 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Petter Holme

The time variation of contacts in a networked system may fundamentally alter the properties of spreading processes and affect the condition for large-scale propagation, as encoded in the epidemic threshold. Despite the great interest in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-14 Eugenio Valdano , Luca Ferreri , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

We study the following model of disease spread in a social network. At first, all individuals are either infected or healthy. Next, in discrete rounds, the disease spreads in the network from infected to healthy individuals such that a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michal Dvořák , Dušan Knop , Šimon Schierreich

These notes describe stochastic epidemics in a homogenous community. Our main concern is stochastic compartmental models (i.e. models where each individual belongs to a compartment, which stands for its status regarding the epidemic under…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Tom Britton , Etienne Pardoux

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

We analyze the dynamics of a population of independent random walkers on a graph and develop a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that each walker visits independently the nodes of a finite ergodic graph in a discrete-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-19 Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet

We analyze the spreading of viruses in scale-free networks with high clustering and degree correlations, as found in the Internet graph. For the Suscetible-Infected-Susceptible model of epidemics the prevalence undergoes a phase transition…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-23 Victor M. Eguiluz , Konstantin Klemm