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We present an approach to the solution of decision problems formulated as influence diagrams. This approach involves a special triangulation of the underlying graph, the construction of a junction tree with special properties, and a message…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Frank Jensen , Finn Verner Jensen , Soren L. Dittmer

Sampling-based algorithms are classical approaches to perform Bayesian inference in inverse problems. They provide estimators with the associated credibility intervals to quantify the uncertainty on the estimators. Although these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Audrey Repetti , Pierre Chainais

Solving ill-posed inverse problems by Bayesian inference has recently attracted considerable attention. Compared to deterministic approaches, the probabilistic representation of the solution by the posterior distribution can be exploited to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Felix Lucka

We present a new approach to sample from generic binary distributions, based on an exact Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm applied to a piecewise continuous augmentation of the binary distribution of interest. An extension of this idea to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

An undirected graphical model is a joint probability distribution defined on an undirected graph G*, where the vertices in the graph index a collection of random variables and the edges encode conditional independence relationships among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-03 Divyanshu Vats , Robert Nowak

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

In an effort to effectively model observed patterns in the spatial configuration of individuals of multiple species in nature, we introduce the saturated pairwise interaction Gibbs point process. Its main strength lies in its ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Ian Flint , Nick Golding , Peter Vesk , Yan Wang , Aihua Xia

Gibbs random fields play an important role in statistics, for example the autologistic model is commonly used to model the spatial distribution of binary variables defined on a lattice. However they are complicated to work with due to an…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-25 Nial Friel

We study the problem of sampling a uniformly random directed rooted spanning tree, also known as an arborescence, from a possibly weighted directed graph. Classically, this problem has long been known to be polynomial-time solvable; the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Nima Anari , Nathan Hu , Amin Saberi , Aaron Schild

One weakness of Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is its sample efficiency which can be addressed by building and using state and/or action abstractions in parallel to the tree search such that information can be shared among nodes of the same…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Robin Schmöcker , Alexander Dockhorn , Bodo Rosenhahn

The Gibbs sampler is one of the most popular algorithms for inference in statistical models. In this paper, we introduce a herding variant of this algorithm, called herded Gibbs, that is entirely deterministic. We prove that herded Gibbs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Luke Bornn , Yutian Chen , Nando de Freitas , Mareija Eskelin , Jing Fang , Max Welling

Popular Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithms for online planning, such as epsilon-greedy tree search and UCT, aim at rapidly identifying a reasonably good action, but provide rather poor worst-case guarantees on performance improvement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Zohar Feldman , Carmel Domshlak

This paper studies graphical model selection, i.e., the problem of estimating a graph of statistical relationships among a collection of random variables. Conventional graphical model selection algorithms are passive, i.e., they require all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Divyanshu Vats , Robert D. Nowak , Richard G. Baraniuk

Gibbs sampling is a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method often used in Bayesian learning. MCMC methods can be difficult to deploy on parallel and distributed systems due to their inherently sequential nature. We study asynchronous Gibbs…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-03 Alexander Terenin , Daniel Simpson , David Draper

Probabilistic distributions over spanning trees in directed graphs are a fundamental model of dependency structure in natural language processing, syntactic dependency trees. In NLP, dependency trees often have an additional root…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Ran Zmigrod , Tim Vieira , Ryan Cotterell

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is supported by efficient sampling algorithms, a rich methodological literature, and strong theoretical grounding. However, due to their prohibitive computation and storage demands, the use of exact GPs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Kelly R. Moran , Matthew W. Wheeler

The clique tree algorithm is the standard method for doing inference in Bayesian networks. It works by manipulating clique potentials - distributions over the variables in a clique. While this approach works well for many networks, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Daphne Koller , Uri Lerner , Dragomir Anguelov

This paper discusses how two classes of approximate computation algorithms can be adapted, in a modular fashion, to achieve exact statistical inference from differentially private data products. Considered are approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-28 Ruobin Gong

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) methods are drawing great interest after yielding breakthrough results in computer Go. This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to MCTS that is inspired by distributionfree approaches such as UCT [13], yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Gerald Tesauro , V T Rajan , Richard Segal

This paper presents a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from the posterior distribution of conjugate mixture models. This algorithm relies on a flexible split-merge procedure built using the particle Gibbs sampler. Contrary to…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet , Andrew Roth