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We demonstrate a method for proving precise concentration inequalities in uniformly random trees on $n$ vertices, where $n\geq1$ is a fixed positive integer. The method uses a bijection between mappings…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Steven Heilman

This paper presents a new interaction point process that integrates geological knowledge for the purpose of automatic sources detection of multiple sources in groundwaters from hydrochemical data. The observations are considered as spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-07 Christophe Reype , Radu S. Stoica , Antonin Richard , Madalina Deaconu

There exist two general forms of exact algorithms for updating probabilities in Bayesian Networks. The first approach involves using a structure, usually a clique tree, and performing local message based calculation to extract the belief in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Mark Bloemeke , Marco Valtorta

One of the fundamental problems in Bayesian statistics is the approximation of the posterior distribution. Gibbs sampler and coordinate ascent variational inference are renownedly utilized approximation techniques that rely on stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Se Yoon Lee

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

An unsupervised classification method for point events occurring on a network of lines is proposed. The idea relies on the distributional flexibility and practicality of random partition models to discover the clustering structure featuring…

A method for implicit variable selection in mixture of experts frameworks is proposed. We introduce a prior structure where information is taken from a set of independent covariates. Robust class membership predictors are identified using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-15 Gregor Zens

We present a Dirichlet process mixture model over discrete incomplete rankings and study two Gibbs sampling inference techniques for estimating posterior clusterings. The first approach uses a slice sampling subcomponent for estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Marina Meila , Harr Chen

Thompson sampling has emerged as an effective heuristic for a broad range of online decision problems. In its basic form, the algorithm requires computing and sampling from a posterior distribution over models, which is tractable only for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

We study the convergence properties of the Gibbs Sampler in the context of posterior distributions arising from Bayesian analysis of conditionally Gaussian hierarchical models. We develop a multigrid approach to derive analytic expressions…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-27 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

In this talk, we briefly comment on Sweeny and Gliozzi methods, cluster Monte Carlo method, and recent transition matrix Monte Carlo for Potts models. We mostly concentrate on a new algorithm known as "binary tree summation". Some of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jian-Sheng Wang

Numerous temporal inference tasks such as fault monitoring and anomaly detection exhibit a persistence property: for example, if something breaks, it stays broken until an intervention. When modeled as a Dynamic Bayesian Network,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Tomas Singliar , Denver Dash

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a powerful method for carrying out Bayesian inference when the likelihood is computationally intractable. However, a drawback of ABC is that it is an approximate method that induces a systematic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Minh Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

We introduced the Hug and Hop Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to an intractable distribution. The algorithm alternates between two kernels: Hug and Hop. Hug is a non-reversible kernel that…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Matthew Ludkin , Chris Sherlock

Quantifying uncertainty in word embeddings is crucial for reliable inference from textual data. However, existing Bayesian methods such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and mean-field variational inference (MFVI) are either computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Väinö Yrjänäinen , Isac Boström , Måns Magnusson , Johan Jonasson

Over the last decade, a large variety of clustering algorithms have been developed to detect coregulatory relationships among genes from microarray gene expression data. Model based clustering approaches have emerged as statistically well…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-15 Anagha Joshi , Yves Van de Peer , Tom Michoel

Dependency trees help relation extraction models capture long-range relations between words. However, existing dependency-based models either neglect crucial information (e.g., negation) by pruning the dependency trees too aggressively, or…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-28 Yuhao Zhang , Peng Qi , Christopher D. Manning

Iterative methods with certified convergence for the computation of Gauss--Jacobi quadratures are described. The methods do not require a priori estimations of the nodes to guarantee its fourth-order convergence. They are shown to be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-24 A. Gil , J. Segura , N. M. Temme

The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Fabio Derendinger
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