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A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

The inadequate mixing of conventional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for multi-modal distributions presents a significant challenge in practical applications such as Bayesian inference and molecular dynamics. Addressing this, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Wenlin Chen , Mingtian Zhang , Brooks Paige , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , David Barber

A one-to-one correspondence is established between the bridge path space of birth-death processes and the exclusive union of the product spaces of simplexes and integer grids. Formulae are derived for the exact counting of the integer grid…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-09 Lin Sun , Gang Wei

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches to clustering, information retrieval, language modeling and object recognition have recently shown great promise as a new paradigm for unsupervised data analysis. Most contributions have focused on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ian Porteous , Alexander T. Ihler , Padhraic Smyth , Max Welling

We consider the inference of the structure of an undirected graphical model in an exact Bayesian framework. More specifically we aim at achieving the inference with close-form posteriors, avoiding any sampling step. This task would be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-02 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin , Michael Stumpf

This paper is concerned with the reliable inference of optimal tree-approximations to the dependency structure of an unknown distribution generating data. The traditional approach to the problem measures the dependency strength between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

Many real life domains contain a mixture of discrete and continuous variables and can be modeled as hybrid Bayesian Networks. Animportant subclass of hybrid BNs are conditional linear Gaussian (CLG) networks, where the conditional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Uri Lerner , Eran Segal , Daphne Koller

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…

In segmentation problems, inference on change-point position and model selection are two difficult issues due to the discrete nature of change-points. In a Bayesian context, we derive exact, non-asymptotic, explicit and tractable formulae…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-31 Guillem Rigaill , Emilie Lebarbier , Stéphane Robin

Graph sampling via crawling has become increasingly popular and important in the study of measuring various characteristics of large scale complex networks. While powerful, it is known to be challenging when the graph is loosely connected…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Junzhou Zhao , John C. S. Lui , Don Towsley , Pinghui Wang , Xiaohong Guan

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular inference method when likelihoods are hard to come by. Practical bottlenecks of ABC applications include selecting statistics that summarize the data without losing too much information or…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-15 Khanh N. Dinh , Cécile Liu , Zijin Xiang , Zhihan Liu , Simon Tavaré

We revisit the classical problem of exact inference on probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). Our algorithm is based on recent worst-case optimal database join algorithms, which can be asymptotically faster than traditional data processing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Aarthy Shivram Arun , Sai Vikneshwar Mani Jayaraman , Christopher Ré , Atri Rudra

We propose Unity Smoothing (US) for handling inconsistencies between a Bayesian network model and new unseen observations. We show that prediction accuracy, using the junction tree algorithm with US is comparable to that of Laplace…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Mads Lindskou , Torben Tvedebrink , Poul Svante Eriksen , Søren Højsgaard , Niels Morling

Herding is a technique to sequentially generate deterministic samples from a probability distribution. In this work, we propose a continuous herded Gibbs sampler that combines kernel herding on continuous densities with the Gibbs sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Laura M. Wolf , Marcus Baum

Recently, variational approximations such as the mean field approximation have received much interest. We extend the standard mean field method by using an approximating distribution that factorises into cluster potentials. This includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Wim Wiegerinck

We revisit the classical problem of exact inference on probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). Our algorithm is based on recent \emph{worst-case optimal database join} algorithms, which can be asymptotically faster than traditional data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Aarthy Shivram Arun , Sai Vikneshwar Mani Jayaraman , Christopher Ré , Atri Rudra

Full Bayesian computational inference for model determination in undirected graphical models is currently restricted to decomposable graphs, except for problems of very small scale. In this paper we develop new, more efficient methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-05 Peter J. Green , Alun Thomas

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We consider fixed-point equations for probability measures charging measured compact metric spaces that naturally yield continuum random trees. On the one hand, we study the existence/uniqueness of the fixed-points and the convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Nicolas Broutin , Henning Sulzbach

The Jeffreys divergence is a renown symmetrization of the oriented Kullback-Leibler divergence broadly used in information sciences. Since the Jeffreys divergence between Gaussian mixture models is not available in closed-form, various…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Frank Nielsen