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Within the framework of evidence theory, the confidence functions of different information can be combined into a combined confidence function to solve uncertain problems. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

One of the most important aspects in any treatment of uncertain information is the rule of combination for updating the degrees of uncertainty. The theory of belief functions uses the Dempster rule to combine two belief functions defined by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Michael S. K. M. Wong , P. Lingras

In Dempster-Shafer belief theory, general beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over frames of discernment. In Subjective Logic beliefs are expressed as belief mass distribution functions over binary frames of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Audun Josang

This paper will focus on the process of 'fusing' several observations or models of uncertainty into a single resultant model. Many existing approaches to fusion use subjective quantities such as 'strengths of belief' and process these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Shawn C. Eastwood , Svetlana N. Yanushkevich

Considerable attention has been given to the problem of non-monotonic reasoning in a belief function framework. Earlier work (M. Ginsberg) proposed solutions introducing meta-rules which recognized conditional independencies in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish

Dempster/Shafer (D/S) theory has been advocated as a way of representing incompleteness of evidence in a system's knowledge base. Methods now exist for propagating beliefs through chains of inference. This paper discusses how rules with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Paul K. Black , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

The fundamental updating process in the transferable belief model is related to the concept of specialization and can be described by a specialization matrix. The degree of belief in the truth of a proposition is a degree of justified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Frank Klawonn , Philippe Smets

We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Kolmogorov, is problematic. We then introduce and discuss…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

We develop our interpretation of the joint belief distribution and of evidential updating that matches the following basic requirements: * there must exist an efficient method for reasoning within this framework * there must exist a clear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-14 Mieczysław Kłopotek

This paper describes recent work on an ongoing project in medical diagnosis at the University of Guelph. A domain on which experts are not very good at pinpointing a single disease outcome is explored. On-line medical data is available over…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish , P. Yao , T. Stirtzinger

We propose an information-fusion approach based on belief functions to combine convolutional neural networks. In this approach, several pre-trained DS-based CNN architectures extract features from input images and convert them into mass…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Zheng Tong , Philippe Xu , Thierry Denoeux

This paper describes a natural framework for rules, based on belief functions, which includes a repre- sentation of numerical rules, default rules and rules allowing and rules not allowing contraposition. In particular it justifies the use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Nic Wilson

In this paper, we generalize the belief function on complex plane from another point of view. We first propose a new concept of complex mass function based on the complex number, called complex basic belief assignment, which is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Fuyuan Xiao

To estimate causal effects from observational data, an applied researcher must impose beliefs. The instrumental variables exclusion restriction, for example, represents the belief that the instrument has no direct effect on the outcome of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-17 Francis J. DiTraglia , Camilo Garcia-Jimeno

One problem to solve in the context of information fusion, decision-making, and other artificial intelligence challenges is to compute justified beliefs based on evidence. In real-life examples, this evidence may be inconsistent,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Daira Pinto Prieto , Ronald de Haan , Aybüke Özgün

The problem of combining beliefs in the Dempster-Shafer belief theory has attracted considerable attention over the last two decades. The classical Dempster's Rule has often been criticised, and many alternative rules for belief combination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Audun Josang

We formulate Dempster Shafer Belief functions in terms of Propositional Logic using the implicit notion of provability underlying Dempster Shafer Theory. Given a set of propositional clauses, assigning weights to certain propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Gregory M. Provan

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

The notion of belief likelihood function of repeated trials is introduced, whenever the uncertainty for individual trials is encoded by a belief measure (a finite random set). This generalises the traditional likelihood function, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Fabio Cuzzolin

We introduce a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets for reasoning with fuzzy or crisp evidence. This framework generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and possibility theory. Independent epistemic random…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Thierry Denoeux
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