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In confirmatory clinical trials with small sample sizes, hypothesis tests based on asymptotic distributions are often not valid and exact non-parametric procedures are applied instead. However, the latter are based on discrete test…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Robin Ristl , Dong Xi , Ekkehard Glimm , Martin Posch

We introduce a multiple testing procedure (TreeBH) which addresses the challenge of controlling error rates at multiple levels of resolution. Conceptually, we frame this problem as the selection of hypotheses which are organized…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Marina Bogomolov , Christine B. Peterson , Yoav Benjamini , Chiara Sabatti

The introduction of the false discovery rate (FDR) by Benjamini and Hochberg has spurred a great interest in developing methodologies to control the FDR in various settings. The majority of existing approaches, however, address the FDR…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Kasra Alishahi , Ahmad Reza Ehyaei , Ali Shojaie

We show that the control of the false discovery rate (FDR) for a multiple testing procedure is implied by two coupled simple sufficient conditions. The first one, which we call ``self-consistency condition'', concerns the algorithm itself,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-21 Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We consider an approach to update nonmonotonic knowledge bases represented as extended logic programs under answer set semantics. New information is incorporated into the current knowledge base subject to a causal rejection principle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 T. Eiter , M. Fink , G. Sabbatini , H. Tompits

Randomized experiments have become the standard method for companies to evaluate the performance of new products or services. In addition to augmenting managers' decision-making, experimentation mitigates risk by limiting the proportion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Iavor Bojinov , Michael Lindon , Martin Tingley

While machine learning has advanced through massive parallelization, we identify a critical blind spot: some problems are fundamentally sequential. These "inherently serial" problems-from mathematical reasoning to physical simulations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Yuxi Liu , Konpat Preechakul , Kananart Kuwaranancharoen , Yutong Bai

This article considers the problem of multiple hypothesis testing using $t$-tests. The observed data are assumed to be independently generated conditional on an underlying and unknown two-state hidden model. We propose an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Hongyuan Cao , Michael R. Kosorok

We propose a new algorithmic framework for sequential hypothesis testing with i.i.d. data, which includes A/B testing, nonparametric two-sample testing, and independence testing as special cases. It is novel in several ways: (a) it takes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-03 Akshay Balsubramani , Aaditya Ramdas

The choice of transition kernel critically influences the performance of the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. Despite the importance of kernel choice, guiding principles for optimal kernels have not been established. Here, we propose a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-28 Hidemaro Suwa

We study the problem of sequentially testing whether a given stochastic process is generated by a known Markov chain. Formally, given access to a stream of random variables, we want to quickly determine whether this sequence is a trajectory…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-24 Greg Fields , Tara Javidi , Shubhanshu Shekhar

Many adaptive monitoring schemes adjust the required evidence toward a hypothesis to control Type I error. This shifts focus away from determining scientific relevance with an uncompromised degree of evidence. We propose sequentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Jonathan J. Chipman , Robert A. Greevy , Lindsay Mayberry , Jeffrey D. Blume

To identify statistically significant conclusions, it is proposed to simultaneously test hypotheses and alternatives. It is shown that, under the condition of free combination of hypotheses and alternatives, the closure method leads to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 P. A. Koldanov , A. P. Koldanov

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

The graph based approach to multiple testing is an intuitive method that enables a study team to represent clearly, through a directed graph, its priorities for hierarchical testing of multiple hypotheses, and for propagating the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Cyrus Mehta , Ajoy Mukhopadhyay , Martin Posch

Response-adaptive randomization allows the probabilities of allocating patients to treatments in a clinical trial to change based on the previously observed response data, in order to achieve different experimental goals. One concern over…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ekkehard Glimm , David Robertson

We present a sequential testing method to identify a practically significant effect. We build on the existing mixture sequential probability ratio test (mSPRT) that can sequentially test for a non-zero treatment effect by using a truncated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Kyu Min Shim

False discovery rate (FDR) has been a key metric for error control in multiple hypothesis testing, and many methods have developed for FDR control across a diverse cross-section of settings and applications. We develop a closure principle…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Ziyu Xu , Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

Fault-tolerant complexes describe surface-code fault-tolerant protocols from a single geometric object. We first introduce fusion complexes that define a general family of fusion-based quantum computing (FBQC) fault-tolerant quantum…

Standard multiple testing procedures are designed to report a list of discoveries, or suspected false null hypotheses, given the hypotheses' p-values or test scores. Recently there has been a growing interest in enhancing such procedures by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jack Freestone , William Stafford Noble , Uri Keich