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Sequential Test for Practical Significance: Truncated Mixture Sequential Probability Ratio Test

Methodology 2025-09-10 v1

Abstract

We present a sequential testing method to identify a practically significant effect. We build on the existing mixture sequential probability ratio test (mSPRT) that can sequentially test for a non-zero treatment effect by using a truncated mixing distribution to differentiate between effects that are large enough to merit a real world action versus that are non-zero but too small to merit a real world action. We verify the Type-I error control of our method theoretically and empirically. We also extend this idea to sequentially test for one-sided practical significance such as non-inferiority testing, and show that we may still effectively control the Type-I error rate.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2509.07892,
  title  = {Sequential Test for Practical Significance: Truncated Mixture Sequential Probability Ratio Test},
  author = {Kyu Min Shim},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.07892},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T05:28:41.718Z