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In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a Poisson arrival process where the rate function is assumed to lie in the span of a known basis. Our goal is to estimate the basis expansions coefficients given a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Michael G. Moore , Mark A. Davenport

We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Key challenges in the analysis of highly multivariate large-scale spatial stochastic processes, where both the number of components (p) and spatial locations (n) can be large, include achieving maximal sparsity in the joint precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen , Peter Diggle , James V. Zidek , Gavin Shaddick

Maximum likelihood estimation for parameter-fitting given observations from a Gaussian process in space is a computationally-demanding task that restricts the use of such methods to moderately-sized datasets. We present a framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Victor Minden , Anil Damle , Kenneth L. Ho , Lexing Ying

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

We construct a general procedure for the Quasi Likelihood Analysis applied to a multivariate point process on the real half line in an ergodic framework. More precisely, we assume that the stochastic intensity of the underlying model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Simon Clinet , Nakahiro Yoshida

Several researchers have described two-part models with patient-specific stochastic processes for analysing longitudinal semicontinuous data. In theory, such models can offer greater flexibility than the standard two-part model with…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-28 Sean Yiu , Brian Tom

Species distribution modeling (SDM) plays a crucial role in investigating habitat suitability and addressing various ecological issues. While likelihood analysis is commonly used to draw ecological conclusions, it has been observed that its…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yusuke Saigusa , Shinto Eguchi , Osamu Komori

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Due to the intractable partition function, the exact likelihood function for a Markov random field (MRF), in many situations, can only be approximated. Major approximation approaches include pseudolikelihood and Laplace approximation. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Jie Liu , Hao Zheng

We introduce a family of local inhomogeneous mark-weighted summary statistics, of order two and higher, for general marked point processes. Depending on how the involved weight function is specified, these summary statistics capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Giada Adelfio , Jorge Mateu , Ottmar Cronie

This work deals with a system of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We develop a study of ignorability and conditions thereof for likelihood inference in the framework of stochastic processes. We define a coarsening model for processes which includes discrete-time observations as well as censored…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Daniel Commenges , Anne Gegout-Petit

We consider the maximum process of a random walk with additive independent noise in form of $\max_{i=1,\dots,n}(S_i+Y_i)$. The random walk may have dependent increments, but its sample path is assumed to converge weakly to a fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Yizao Wang

Stochastic orders on point processes are partial orders which capture notions like being larger or more variable. Laplace functional ordering of point processes is a useful stochastic order for comparing spatial deployments of wireless…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Junghoon Lee , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu

We aim to link random fields and marked point processes and therefore introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are defined on a random set in R^d. Unlike for random fields, the mark covariance function of a marked random set is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 Felix Ballani , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather
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