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We show that several general classes of stochastic processes satisfy a functional co-monotony principle, including processes with independent increments, Brownian diffusions, Liouville processes. As a first application, we recover some…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-13 Gilles Pagès

In this paper, we are interested in linear prediction of a particular kind of stochastic process, namely a marked temporal point process. The observations are event times recorded on the real line, with marks attached to each event. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

We present the Additive Poisson Process (APP), a novel framework that can model the higher-order interaction effects of the intensity functions in stochastic processes using lower dimensional projections. Our model combines the techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Simon Luo , Feng Zhou , Lamiae Azizi , Mahito Sugiyama

Many specific problems ranging from theoretical probability to applications in statistical physics, combinatorial optimization and communications can be formulated as an optimal tuning of local parameters in large systems of interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-23 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Christian Hirsch

Stationary stochastic processes with independent increments, of which the Poisson process is a prominent example, are widely used to describe real world events. With the basic assumption that a counting process is stationary and has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Enzhi Li

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We study the optimization landscape of the log-likelihood function and the convergence of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in latent Gaussian tree models, i.e. tree-structured Gaussian graphical models whose leaf nodes are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

To accurately quantify landslide hazard in a region of Turkey, we develop new marked point process models within a Bayesian hierarchical framework for the joint prediction of landslide counts and sizes. To accommodate for the dominant role…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Luigi Lombardo

This paper is the second in a series of papers which combine graphical modelling and marked spatial point patterns. Extending the previous results of \cite Eckardt (2016a), we introduce a marked spatial dependence graph model which depicts…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-29 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent jump rates for the particles. The process is a simplified model of the time evolution of the rankings such as sales ranks at online bookstores. We prove that the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Tetsuya Hattori , Seiichiro Kusuoka

The statistics of the output activity of a neuron during its stimulation by the stream of input impulses that forms the stochastic Poisson process is studied. The leaky integrate-and-fire neuron is considered as a neuron model. A new…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-22 Alexander Vidybida , Olha Shchur

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Mechanistic network models specify the mechanisms by which networks grow and change, allowing researchers to investigate complex systems using both simulation and analytical techniques. Unfortunately, it is difficult to write likelihoods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Consider an ergodic stationary random field $A$ on the ambient space $\mathbb R^d$. In order to establish concentration properties for nonlinear functions $Z(A)$, it is standard to appeal to functional inequalities like Poincar\'e or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Mitia Duerinckx , Antoine Gloria

A fundamental question in the field of molecular computation is what computational tasks a biochemical system can carry out. In this work, we focus on the problem of finding the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) for log-affine models. We…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-06 Oskar Henriksson , Carlos Améndola , Jose Israel Rodriguez , Polly Y. Yu

We apply general moment identities for Poisson stochastic integrals with random integrands to the computation of the moments of Markovian growth-collapse processes. This extends existing formulas for mean and variance available in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Nicolas Privault

We address the issue of performing inference on the parameters that index a bimodal extension of the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution (BS). We show that maximum likelihood point estimation can be problematic since the standard nonlinear…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-27 Rodney Fonseca , Francisco Cribari-Neto

A method of moment inequalities is used to derive the principle of minimum growth rate in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes(MISPs). When a value of a power-law exponent at the tail of probability distribution function exists…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto
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