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A fundamental task in science is to determine the underlying causal relations because it is the knowledge of this functional structure what leads to the correct interpretation of an effect given the apparent associations in the observed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Alexandre Trilla , Nenad Mijatovic

This paper is concerned with statistical estimation of two preferential attachment models: the Buckley-Osthus model and the hierarchical preferential attachment model. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimates for both models are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Xin Guo , Fengmin Tang , Wenpin Tang

For exchangeable data, mixture models are an extremely useful tool for density estimation due to their attractive balance between smoothness and flexibility. When additional covariate information is present, mixture models can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sara Wade , Vanda Inacio , Sonia Petrone

In real life situations often paired comparisons involving alternatives of either full or partial profiles to mitigate cognitive burden are presented. For this situation the problem of finding optimal designs is considered in the presence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Eric Nyarko

Forecasting with longitudinal data has been rarely studied. Most of the available studies are for continuous response and all of them are for univariate response. In this study, we consider forecasting multivariate longitudinal binary data.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-13 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

Identifying the most deprived regions of any country or city is key if policy makers are to design successful interventions. However, locating areas with the greatest need is often surprisingly challenging in developing countries. Due to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-06 R. G. Seymour , D. Sirl , S. Preston , I. L. Dryden , M. J. A. Ellis , B. Perrat , J. Goulding

Bayesian model comparison is often based on the posterior distribution over the set of compared models. This distribution is often observed to concentrate on a single model even when other measures of model fit or forecasting ability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Oscar Oelrich , Shutong Ding , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari , Mattias Villani

This article surveys recent progress in the Bradley-Terry (BT) model and its extensions. We focus on the statistical and computational aspects, with emphasis on the regime in which both the number of objects and the volume of comparisons…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Shuxing Fang , Ruijian Han , Yuanhang Luo , Yiming Xu

We consider the problem of estimating a ranking on a set of items from noisy pairwise comparisons given item features. We address the fact that pairwise comparison data often reflects irrational choice, e.g. intransitivity. Our key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Amanda Bower , Laura Balzano

Observational astrophysics consists of making inferences about the Universe by comparing data and models. The credible intervals placed on model parameters are often as important as the maximum a posteriori probability values, as the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Will J. Percival , Oliver Friedrich , Elena Sellentin , Alan Heavens

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

In this work, we develop a hypothesis testing framework to determine whether pairwise comparison data is generated by an underlying \emph{generalized Thurstone model} $\mathcal{T}_F$ for a given choice function $F$. While prior work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Anuran Makur , Japneet Singh

If you tell a learning model that you prefer an alternative $a$ over another alternative $b$, then you probably expect the model to be monotone, that is, the valuation of $a$ increases, and that of $b$ decreases. Yet, perhaps surprisingly,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Julien Fageot , Peva Blanchard , Gilles Bareilles , Lê-Nguyên Hoang

Pairwise comparison data arises in many domains, including tournament rankings, web search, and preference elicitation. Given noisy comparisons of a fixed subset of pairs of items, we study the problem of estimating the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Ashwin Pananjady , Cheng Mao , Vidya Muthukumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Thomas A. Courtade

This article is concerned with automated complexity analysis of term rewrite systems. Since these systems underlie much of declarative programming, time complexity of functions defined by rewrite systems is of particular interest. Among…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-06-02 Nao Hirokawa , Georg Moser

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

Pairwise learning focuses on learning tasks with pairwise loss functions, depends on pairs of training instances, and naturally fits for modeling relationships between pairs of samples. In this paper, we focus on the privacy of pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Yilin Kang , Yong Liu , Jian Li , Weiping Wang

This paper introduces a natural extension of the pair-comparison-with-ties model of Davidson (1970, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.), to allow for ties when more than two items are compared. Properties of the new model are discussed. It is found…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 David Firth , Ioannis Kosmidis , Heather Turner

Bivariate count data arise in several different disciplines (epidemiology, marketing, sports statistics, etc., to name but a few) and the bivariate Poisson distribution which is a generalization of the Poisson distribution plays an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Barry C. Arnold , Indranil Ghosh

We propose a topic modeling approach to the prediction of preferences in pairwise comparisons. We develop a new generative model for pairwise comparisons that accounts for multiple shared latent rankings that are prevalent in a population…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-27 Weicong Ding , Prakash Ishwar , Venkatesh Saligrama
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