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Related papers: Models for Paired Comparison Data: A Review with E…

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A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

This paper discusses estimation and limited information goodness-of-fit test statistics in factor models for binary data using pairwise likelihood estimation and sampling weights. The paper extends the applicability of pairwise likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Haziq Jamil , Irini Moustaki , Chris Skinner

We measure LLMs' output error at pairwise text comparison, noting the probability of error in their preferences. Our method does not rely on the ground truth and supports two scenarios: (i) uniform error rate regardless of the order of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Tianyi Li

We present ten different strength-based statistical models that we use to model soccer match outcomes with the aim of producing a new ranking. The models are of four main types: Thurstone-Mosteller, Bradley-Terry, Independent Poisson and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-15 Christophe Ley , Tom Van de Wiele , Hans Van Eetvelde

Comparison data arises in many important contexts, e.g. shopping, web clicks, or sports competitions. Typically we are given a dataset of comparisons and wish to train a model to make predictions about the outcome of unseen comparisons. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-25 Stephen Ragain , Alexander Peysakhovich , Johan Ugander

Statistical inference using pairwise comparison data is an effective approach to analyzing large-scale sparse networks. In this paper, we propose a general framework to model the mutual interactions in a network, which enjoys ample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-11 Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu , Kani Chen

To improve confounder adjustments, observational studies are often matched on potential confounders. While matched case-control studies are common and well covered in the literature, our focus here is on matched cohort studies, which are…

The Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model is a classic and very popular statistical approach for eliciting a global ranking among a collection of items using pairwise comparison data. In applications in which the comparison outcomes are observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Wanshan Li , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Scientists have developed hundreds of techniques to measure the interactions between pairs of processes in complex systems. But these computational methods, from correlation coefficients to causal inference, rely on distinct quantitative…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-27 Oliver M. Cliff , Annie G. Bryant , Joseph T. Lizier , Naotsugu Tsuchiya , Ben D. Fulcher

Prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes has received much recent attention, especially from the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In the real world setting of outcome prediction, the seminal \'{E}l\H{o}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-30 Franz J. Király , Zhaozhi Qian

Pairwise comparison data are widely used to infer latent rankings in areas such as sports, social choice, and machine learning. The Bradley-Terry model provides a foundational probabilistic framework but inherently assumes transitive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Hisaya Okahara , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Uncoupled regression is the problem to learn a model from unlabeled data and the set of target values while the correspondence between them is unknown. Such a situation arises in predicting anonymized targets that involve sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Liyuan Xu , Junya Honda , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

We consider a general class of empirical-type likelihoods and develop higher order asymptotics with a view to characterizing members thereof that allow the existence of possibly data-dependent probability matching priors ensuring…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Rahul Mukerjee

In a wide class of paired comparisons, especially in the sports games, in which all subjects are divided into several groups, the intragroup comparisons are dense and the intergroup comparisons are sparse. Typical examples include the NFL…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-06-11 Ting Yan , Jinfeng Xu , Yaning Yang

Paired comparison data, where users evaluate items in pairs, play a central role in ranking and preference learning tasks. While ordinal comparison data intuitively offer richer information than binary comparisons, this paper challenges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shirong Xu , Jingnan Zhang , Junhui Wang

We consider the problem of top-k subset selection in Dueling Bandit problems with score information. Real-world pairwise ranking problems often exhibit a high degree of transitivity and prior work has suggested sampling methods that exploit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Matthew Groves , Juergen Branke

Given a set of pairwise comparisons, the classical ranking problem computes a single ranking that best represents the preferences of all users. In this paper, we study the problem of inferring individual preferences, arising in the context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Rui Wu , Jiaming Xu , R. Srikant , Laurent Massoulié , Marc Lelarge , Bruce Hajek

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

We derive and investigate two DPO variants that explicitly model the possibility of declaring a tie in pair-wise comparisons. We replace the Bradley-Terry model in DPO with two well-known modeling extensions, by Rao and Kupper and by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Jinghong Chen , Guangyu Yang , Weizhe Lin , Jingbiao Mei , Bill Byrne

This technical report studies the problem of ranking from pairwise comparisons in the classical Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, with a focus on score estimation. For general graphs, we show that, with sufficiently many samples, maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-17 Yanxi Chen