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We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

Maintenance and regeneration of adult tissues rely on the self-renewal of stem cells. Regeneration without over-proliferation requires precise regulation of the stem cell proliferation and differentiation rates. The nature of such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-19 Rodrigo García-Tejera , Linus Schumacher , Ramon Grima

A simple mathematical homogeneous model of competition is used to describe Neanderthal extinction in Europe. It considers two interacting species, Neanderthals and Early Modern Men, in the same ecological niche. Using paleontological data…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Flores

Using the annealed approach we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of a critical multitype branching process evolving in i.i.d. random environment. We show under rather general assumptions on the form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Vladimir A. Vatutin , Elena E. Dyakonova

The homogeneous reconstructed evolutionary process is a birth-death process without observed extinct lineages. Each species evolves independently with the same diversification rates (speciation rate $\lambda(t)$ and extinction rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-12 Sebastian Höhna

We consider a branching random walk in a random space-time environment of disasters where each particle is killed when meeting a disaster. This extends the model of the "random walk in a disastrous random environment" introduced by [15]. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Nina Gantert , Stefan Junk

We consider a stochastic model for species evolution. A new species is born at rate lambda and a species dies at rate mu. A random number, sampled from a given distribution F, is associated with each new species at the time of birth. Every…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-15 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of non extinction of a weakly subcritical multitype branching process in iid random environments. Under suitable assumptions, the survival probability is of order of $\rho^n n ^{-3/2}$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 M Peigné , C Pham

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

We study a fractional birth-death process with state dependent birth and death rates. It is defined using a system of fractional differential equations that generalizes the classical birth-death process introduced by Feller (1939). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

The dynamics of a population exhibiting exponential growth can be modelled as a birth-death process, which naturally captures the stochastic variation in population size over time. In this article, we consider a supercritical birth-death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Anastasia Ignatieva , Jotun Hein , Paul A. Jenkins

The basic contact process with parameter $\mu$ altered so that infections of sites that have not been previously infected occur at rate proportional to $\lambda$ instead is considered. Emergence of an infinite epidemic starting out from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Achillefs Tzioufas

If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

Let $N$ be a natural number. We consider a population which lives on $I_N=\{-N,-N+1,\dots,N-1,N\}$. Each individual gives birth at rate $\lambda$ on each of its neighboring sites and dies at rate 1. No births are allowed from the inside of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In this article we study the long time behaviour of measure-valued birth and death processes in continuous time, where the dynamics between jumps are one-dimensional Markov processes including diffusion and jumps. We consider the three…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Pierre Collet , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San

Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical case, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-17 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

he starting process with countable number of types \mu(t) generates a stopped branching process \xi(t). The starting process stops, by falling into the nonempty set S. It is assumed, that the starting process is subcritical, indecomposable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Iryna Kyrychynska , Ostap Okhrin , Yaroslav Yeleyko

The statistical properties of an ecosystem composed of species interacting via pairwise, random interactions and deterministic, concentration limiting self-interaction are studied analytically with tools of equilibrium statistical mechanics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Viviane M. de Oliveira , J. F. Fontanari

The main substance of the paper concerns the growth rate and the classification (ergodicity, transience) of a family of random trees. In the basic model, new edges appear according to a Poisson process of parameter $\lambda$ and leaves can…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Guy Fayolle , Maxim Krikun , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin