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We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

Two of the most popular approximations for the distribution of the steady-state waiting time, $W_{\infty}$, of the M/G/1 queue are the so-called heavy-traffic approximation and heavy-tailed asymptotic, respectively. If the traffic…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

The task of estimation of the tails of probability distributions having small samples seems to be still opened and almost unsolvable. The paper tries to make a step in filling this gap. In 2017 Jordanova et al. introduce six new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Pavlina Jordanova , Monika Peteva

In this paper, asymptotic behavior of convolution of distributions belonging to two subclasses of distributions with exponential tails are considered, respectively. The precise second-order tail asymptotics of the convolutions are derived…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Zuoxiang Peng , Xin Liao

We consider a class of stationary processes exhibiting both long-range dependence and heavy tails. Separate limit theorems for sums and for extremes have been established recently in literature with novel objects appearing in the limits. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Shuyang Bai , He Tang

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process for short) $\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2\times S_0$, where $\boldsymbol{X}_n=(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})$ is the level state, $J_n$ the phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Toshihisa Ozawa

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin

Power-law probability distributions are widely used to model extreme statistical events in complex systems, with applications to a vast array of natural phenomena ranging from earthquakes to stock market crashes to pandemics. We show that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Wai-Keong Mok

We study the distribution of the maximal displacement of particles positions for the whole time of the population existence in the model of critical and subcritical catalytic branching random walk on Z. In particular, we prove that in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Ekaterina Vl. Bulinskaya

We propose an analytically tractable neural connectivity model with power-law distributed synaptic strengths. When threshold neurons with biologically plausible number of incoming connections are considered, our model features a continuous…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Łukasz Kuśmierz , Shun Ogawa , Taro Toyoizumi

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bohan Chen , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

Let Y be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion governed by a stationary and ergodic Markov jump process X: dY_t=a(X_t)Y_t dt+\sigma(X_t) dW_t, Y_0=y_0. Ergodicity conditions for Y have been obtained. Here we investigate the tail propriety of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benoite de Saporta , Jian-Feng Yao

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

A workload model using the infinite source Poisson model for bursts is combined with the on--off model for within burst activity. Burst durations and on--off durations are assumed to have heavy-tailed distributions with infinite variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-06 David A. Rolls

Multivariate rapid variation describes decay rates of joint light tails of a multivariate distribution. We impose a local uniformity condition to control decay variation of distribution tails along different directions, and using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Haijun Li

We define the reflection of a random walk at a general barrier and derive, in case the increments are light tailed and have negative mean, a necessary and sufficient criterion for the global maximum of the reflected process to be finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

The areas under workload process and under queuing process in a single server queue over the busy period have many applications not only in queuing theory but also in risk theory or percolation theory. We focus here on the tail behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-08 Rafal Kulik , Zbigniew Palmowski