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We develop explicit bounds for the tail of the distribution for the all-time supremum of a random walk with negative drift, where the increments have a truncated heavy-tailed distribution. As an application, we consider a ruin problem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-07 A. J. E. M. Janssen , B. Zwart

I report a new statistical distribution formulated to confront the infamous, long-standing, computational/modeling challenge presented by highly skewed and/or leptokurtic ("fat- or heavy-tailed") data. The distribution is straightforward,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-01 Lawrence R. Thorne

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

We study the asymptotic spectral distribution of the conjugate kernel random matrix $YY^\top$, where $Y= f(WX)$ arises from a two-layer neural network model. We consider the setting where $W$ and $X$ are random rectangular matrices with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Alice Guionnet , Vanessa Piccolo

We establish some asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of distributions having light subexponential tails. Examples are presented, some showing that in order to obtain an expansion with two significant terms, one needs…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

We give upper and lower asymptotic bounds for the left tail and for the right tail of the continuous limiting QuickSort density f that are nearly matching in each tail. The bounds strengthen results from a paper of Svante Janson (2015)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 James Allen Fill , Wei-Chun Hung

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

Understanding the tail behavior of distributions is crucial in statistical theory. For instance, the tail of a distribution plays a ubiquitous role in extreme value statistics, where it is associated with the likelihood of extreme events.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Rafael Cabral , Maria de Iorio , Andrea Cremaschi

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

Consider a probability distribution subordinate to a subexponential distribution with finite mean. In this paper, we discuss the second order tail behavior of the subordinated distribution within a rather general framework in which we do…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-17 Jianxi Lin

We consider a branching random walk on a multi($Q$)-type, supercritical Galton-Watson tree which satisfies Kesten-Stigum condition. We assume that the displacements associated with the particles of type $Q$ have regularly varying tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ayan Bhattacharya , Krishanu Maulik , Zbigniew Palmowski , Parthanil Roy

We say that a random variable is $light$-$tailed$ if moments of order $2+\epsilon$ are finite for some $\epsilon>0$; otherwise, we say that it is $heavy$-$tailed$. We study queueing networks that operate under the Max-Weight scheduling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-28 Arsalan Sharifnassab , John N. Tsitsiklis

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

We study the joint limit distribution of the $k$ largest eigenvalues of a $p\times p$ sample covariance matrix $XX^\T$ based on a large $p\times n$ matrix $X$. The rows of $X$ are given by independent copies of a linear process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel , Robert Stelzer

Branching random walks on multidimensional lattice with heavy tails and a constant branching rate are considered. It is shown that under these conditions (heavy tails and constant rate), the front propagates exponentially fast, but the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 A. Getan , S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

In this paper we present a novel methodology to perform Bayesian model selection in linear models with heavy-tailed distributions. We consider a finite mixture of distributions to model a latent variable where each component of the mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-21 Flávio B Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Victor H. Lachos

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

Hoeffding has shown that tail bounds on the distribution for sampling from a finite population with replacement also apply to the corresponding cases of sampling without replacement. (A special case of this result is that binomial tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-11 Kyle J. Luh , Nicholas Pippenger