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We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

The large deviations of an infinite moving average process with exponentially light tails are very similar to those of an i.i.d. sequence as long as the coefficients decay fast enough. If they do not, the large deviations change…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Souvik Ghosh , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles, of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator of the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir , Djabrane Yahia

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

The aim of the paper is to show that the presence of one possible type of outliers is not connected to that of heavy tails of the distribution. In contrary, typical situation for outliers appearance is the case of compact supported…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Lev B. Klebanov , Irina Volchenkova

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

Handling multiplicity without losing much power has been a persistent challenge in various fields that often face the necessity of managing numerous statistical tests simultaneously. Recently, $p$-value combination methods based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Yeonwoo Rho

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

The article describes the limiting distribution of the extremes of observations that arrive in clusters. We start by studying the tail behaviour of an individual cluster and then we apply the developed theory to determine the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Bojan Basrak , Nikolina Milinčević , Petra Žugec

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

Continuous mixtures of distributions are widely employed in the statistical literature as models for phenomena with highly divergent outcomes; in particular, many familiar heavy-tailed distributions arise naturally as mixtures of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Carter T. Butts

Heavy-tailed or power-law distributions are becoming increasingly common in biological literature. A wide range of biological data has been fitted to distributions with heavy tails. Many of these studies use simple fitting methods to find…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-06 A. James , M. J. Plank

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-30 S. I. Denisov , S. B. Yuste , Yu. S. Bystrik , H. Kantz , K. Lindenberg

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

In this paper, we propose finite mixtures of multivariate skew Laplace distributions to model both skewness and heavy-tailedness in the heterogeneous data sets. The maximum likelihood estimators for the parameters of interest are obtained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Fatma Zehra Doğru , Y. Murat Bulut , Olcay Arslan

Extremal clusters of stationary processes with long memory can be quite intricate. For certain stationary infinitely divisible processes with subexponential tails, including both power-like tails and certain lighter tails, e.g.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper, we study the weak convergence of the extremes of supercritical branching L\'evy processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are L\'evy processes with regularly varying tails. The result is drastically different…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Rui Zhang

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa
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