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The jump behavior of an infinitely active It\^o semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Fabian Mies

A fundamental concept in control theory is that of controllability, where any system state can be reached through an appropriate choice of control inputs. Indeed, a large body of classical and modern approaches are designed for controllable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Yonathan Efroni , Sham Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Cyril Zhang

In this paper, we study formal synthesis of control policies for partially observed jump-diffusion systems against complex logic specifications. Given a state estimator, we utilize a discretization-free approach for formal synthesis of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-24 Niloofar Jahanshahi , Pushpak Jagtap , Majid Zamani

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

The problem of integrated volatility estimation for the solution X of a stochastic differential equation with L{\'e}vy-type jumps is considered under discrete high-frequency observations in both short and long time horizon. We provide an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

We present a detailed analysis of \emph{observable} moments based parameter estimators for the Heston SDEs jointly driving the rate of returns $R_t$ and the squared volatilities $V_t$. Since volatilities are not directly observable, our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent jump rates for the particles. The process is a simplified model of the time evolution of the rankings such as sales ranks at online bookstores. We prove that the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Tetsuya Hattori , Seiichiro Kusuoka

This paper studies the loss of the semimartingale property of the process $g(Y)$ at the time a one-dimensional diffusion $Y$ hits a level, where $g$ is a difference of two convex functions. We show that the process $g(Y)$ can fail to be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Aleksandar Mijatović , Mikhail Urusov

We present here a simple method for computing the large deviation of long time average for stochastic jump processes. We show that the computation of the rate function can be reduced to that of a partial differential equation governing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

Inspired by many examples in nature, stochastic resetting of random processes has been studied extensively in the past decade. In particular, various models of stochastic particle motion were considered where upon resetting the particle is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Ofir Tal-Friedman , Yael Roichman , Shlomi Reuveni

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

Stochastic symmetries and related invariance properties of finite dimensional SDEs driven by general c\`adl\`ag semimartingales taking values in Lie groups are defined and investigated. In order to enlarge the class of possible symmetries…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (i.e., max-stable processes or $r$-Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at finite levels, empirical evidence often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Raphaël Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

We consider a one dimensional random walk in random environment that is uniformly biased to one direction. In addition to the transition probability, the jump rate of the random walk is assumed to be spatially inhomogeneous and random. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Amir Dembo , Ryoki Fukushima , Naoki Kubota

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

Spontaneous stochasticity is a modern paradigm for turbulent transport at infinite Reynolds numbers. It suggests that tracer particles advected by rough turbulent flows and subject to additional thermal noise, remain non-deterministic in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-21 André Luís Peixoto Considera , Simon Thalabard