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We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We consider convergence properties of the long-term behaviors with respect to the coefficient of the stochastic term for a nonautonomous stochastic $p$-Laplacian lattice equation with multiplicative noise. First, the upper semi-continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Jintao Wang , Qinghai Peng , Chunqiu Li

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

The first passage time problem is considered for stochastic logistic growth model with constant harvesting and multiplicative environmental noise. Explicit expressions for the moments and cumulants of both upcrossing and downcrossing FPTs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Simone Catanzaro , Elvira Di Nardo

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

This paper deals a continuous-time state-dependent jump linear system, a particular kind of stochastic switching system. In particular, we consider a situation when the transition rate of the random jump process depends on the state…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-26 Shaikshavali Chitraganti , Samir Aberkane , Christophe Aubrun

We compare two definitions of multistable L\'evy motions. Such processes are extensions of classical L\'evy motion where the stability index is allowed to vary in time. We show that the two multistable L\'evy motions have distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-25 Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Vehel , Lining Liu

This document reports on a method for detecting and preventing overfitting on data regressions, herein applied to mesh-like data structures. The mesh structure allows for the straightforward computation of the Laplace-operator second-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Enda D. V. Bigarella

A version of the time-parallel algorithm parareal is analyzed and applied to stochastic models in chemical kinetics. A fast predictor at the macroscopic scale (evaluated in serial) is available in the form of the usual reaction rate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-16 Stefan Engblom

We propose a new approach to represent nonparametrically the linear dependence structure of a spatio-temporal process in terms of latent common factors. Though it is formally similar to the existing reduced rank approximation methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Da Huang , Qiwei Yao , Rongmao Zhang

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems with risk constraints that are expressed as bounded probabilities of failure for particular initial states. We present here a martingale approach that diffuses a risk…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Vu Anh Huynh , Leonid Kogan , Emilio Frazzoli

We establish the global asymptotic equivalence between a pure jumps L\'evy process $\{X_t\}$ on the time interval $[0,T]$ with unknown L\'evy measure $\nu$ belonging to a non-parametric class and the observation of $2m^2$ Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Pierre Étoré , Sana Louhichi , Ester Mariucci

Stochastic exponentials are defined for semimartingales on stochastic intervals, and stochastic logarithms are defined for semimartingales, up to the first time the semimartingale hits zero continuously. In the case of (nonnegative) local…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf

We propose a family of models that enable predictive estimation of time-varying extreme event probabilities in heavy-tailed and nonlinearly dependent time series. The models are a white noise process with conditionally log-Laplace…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Gordon V. Chavez

We analyze a modification of the Richards growth model by introducing a time-dependent perturbation in the growth rate. This modification becomes effective at a special switching time, which represents the first-crossing-time of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Paola Paraggio , Francisco Torres-Ruiz

We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau