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Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

For local martingales with nonnegative jumps, we prove a sufficient criterion for the corresponding exponential martingale to be a true martingale. The criterion is in terms of exponential moments of a convex combination of the optional and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Alexander Sokol

We generate the fractional Poisson process by subordinating the standard Poisson process to the inverse stable subordinator. Our analysis is based on application of the Laplace transform with respect to both arguments of the evolving…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

The recent availability of large databases allows to study macroscopic properties of many complex systems. However, inferring a model from a fit of empirical data without any knowledge of the dynamics might lead to erroneous interpretations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-31 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi , Marc Barthelemy

Our goal is to estimate the characteristic exponent of the input to a L\'evy-driven storage system from a sample of equispaced workload observations. The estimator relies on an approximate moment equation associated with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Dennis Nieman , Michel Mandjes , Liron Ravner

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

The statistical properties of fluid particles transported by a fully developed turbulent flow are investigated by means of high resolution direct numerical simulations. Single trajectory statistics is investigated in a time range spanning…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Biferale , G. Boffetta , A. Celani , A. Lanotte , F. Toschi

This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Nguyen Tran Thuan

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

This paper discusses the possibility to find and construct \textit{piecewise constant martingales}, that is, martingales with piecewise constant sample paths evolving in a connected subset of $\mathbb{R}$. After a brief review of standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Christophe Profeta , Frédéric Vrins

This note illustrates how a simple random walk with possibly long jumps is related to fractional powers of the Laplace operator. The exposition is elementary and self-contained.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Enrico Valdinoci

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

We consider a square-integrable semimartingale and investigate the convex order relations between its discrete, continuous and predictable quadratic variation. As the main results, we show that if the semimartingale has conditionally…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-03 Martin Keller-Ressel , Claus Griessler

The transfer operator associated to a flow (continuous time dynamical system) is a one-parameter operator semigroup. We consider the operator-valued Laplace transform of this one-parameter semigroup. Estimates on the Laplace transform have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Oliver Butterley

Convergence properties of model-free two-timescale asymptotic simulations of singularly perturbed hybrid inclusions are developed. A hybrid inclusion combines constrained differential and difference inclusions to capture continuous (flow)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Max F. Crisafulli , Andrew R. Teel

This paper is devoted to the offline multiple changes detection for long-range dependence processes. The observations are supposed to satisfy a semi-parametric long-range dependence assumption with distinct memory parameters on each stage.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Jean-Marc Bardet , Abdellatif Guenaizi

The time evolution of random variables with L\'evy statistics has the ability to develop jumps, displaying very different behaviors from continuously fluctuating cases. Such patterns appear in an ever broadening range of examples including…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-25 Kamil Kaleta , József Lőrinczi

In this paper, we study an optimal control problem of a mean-field forward-backward stochastic system with random jumps in progressive structure, where both regular and singular controls are considered in our formula. In virtue of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Tian Chen , Kai Du , Zongyuan Huang , Zhen Wu
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