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High-dimensional time series are a core ingredient of the statistical modeling toolkit, for which numerous estimation methods are known.But when observations are scarce or corrupted, the learning task becomes much harder.The question is:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-06 Guillaume Dalle , Yohann de Castro

This paper considers the problem of estimating probabilities of the form $\mathbb{P}(Y \leq w)$, for a given value of $w$, in the situation that a sample of i.i.d.\ observations $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ of $X$ is available, and where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-01 Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

The purpose of this paper is to investigate properties of self-exciting jump processes. We derive the Laplace transform of SDE driven self-exciting processes with independent, identically distributed jump sizes. By using this Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Kristina Rognlien Dahl , Heidar Eyjolfsson

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

This paper aims to study a new stochastic order based upon discrete Laplace transforms. By this order, in a setup where the sample size is random, having discrete delta and nabla distributions, we obtain some ordering results involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Fatemeh Gharari , Masoud Ganji

In this note we introduce a new kind of augmentation of filtrations along a sequence of stopping times. This augmentation is suitable for the construction of new probability measures associated to a positive strict local martingale as done…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 Doerte Kreher , Ashkan Nikeghbali

In many stochastic models, the observables of interest are naturally encoded in double transforms (e.g., Laplace transforms) that couple spatial and temporal variables. Notably, the double transform often provides the only analytically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

We propose two nonparametric tests for investigating the pathwise properties of a signal modeled as the sum of a L\'{e}vy process and a Brownian semimartingale. Using a nonparametric threshold estimator for the continuous component of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Rama Cont , Cecilia Mancini

We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Johanna Kappus

The optimal rate of convergence of estimators of the integrated volatility, for a discontinuous It\^{o} semimartingale sampled at regularly spaced times and over a fixed time interval, has been a long-standing problem, at least when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Jean Jacod , Markus Reiss

We introduce a numerical method to extract the parameters of run-and-tumble dynamics from experimental measurements of the intermediate scattering function. We show that proceeding in Laplace space is unpractical and employ instead renewal…

This paper studies the identification of the L\'{e}vy jump measure of a discretely-sampled semimartingale. We define successive Blumenthal-Getoor indices of jump activity, and show that the leading index can always be identified, but that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

In the present paper we consider Laplace deconvolution for discrete noisy data observed on the interval whose length may increase with a sample size. Although this problem arises in a variety of applications, to the best of our knowledge,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Felix Abramovich , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

We endow the classical stochastic fluid process with a duration-dependent Markovian arrival process (DMArP). We show that this provides a flexible model for the revenue of a solar energy generator. In particular, it allows for heavy-tailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

We study the behavior of independent and stationary increments jump processes as they approach fixed thresholds. The exact crossing time is unavailable because the real-time information about successive jumps is unknown. Instead, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

The Lagrangian statistics of heavy particles and of fluid tracers transported by a fully developed turbulent flow are investigated by means of high resolution direct numerical simulations. The Lagrangian velocity structure functions are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeremie Bec , Luca Biferale , Massimo Cencini , Alessandra S. Lanotte , Federico Toschi

We compute and discuss the Esscher martingale transform for exponential processes, the Esscher martingale transform for linear processes, the minimal martingale measure, the class of structure preserving martingale measures, and the minimum…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Carlo Sgarra

We develop a practical framework for distinguishing diffusive stochastic processes from deterministic signals using only a single discrete time series. Our approach is based on classical excursion and crossing theorems for continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Sunia Tanweer , Firas A. Khasawneh

From a suitable integral representation of the Laplace transform of a positive semi-definite quadratic form of independent real random variables with not necessarily identical densities a univariate integral representation is derived for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-01 T. Royen