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We develop an adaptive jump test for discretely observed high-frequency semimartingales by combining the A"it-Sahalia--Jacod ratio statistic (A"it-Sahalia and Jacod, 2009) and the Lee--Mykland extreme-return statistic (Lee and Mykland,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Huifang Ma , Long Feng

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We investigate a refracted Levy process driven by a jump diffusion process, whose jumps have rational Laplace transforms. For such a stochastic process, formulas for the Laplace transform of its occupation times are deduced. To derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Lan Wu , Jiang Zhou

We provide a set of probabilistic laws for estimating the quadratic variation of continuous semimartingales with realized range-based variance -- a statistic that replaces every squared return of realized variance with a normalized squared…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-29 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We study jump-diffusion processes with parameters switching at random times. Being motivated by possible applications, we characterise equivalent martingale measures for these processes by means of the relative entropy. The minimal entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Nikita Ratanov

We investigate stochastic resetting in coupled systems involving two degrees of freedom, where only one variable is reset. The resetting variable, which we think of as hidden, indirectly affects the remaining observable variable through…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-03 Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Hartmut Löwen

We study a one-dimensional Markov modulated random walk with jumps. It is assumed that amplitudes of jumps as well as a chosen velocity regime are random and depend on a time spent by the process at a previous state of the underlying Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Nikita Ratanov

Transition probabilities for stochastic systems can be expressed in terms of a functional integral over paths taken by the system. Evaluating the integral by the saddle point method in the weak-noise limit leads to a remarkable mapping…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-25 S P Fitzgerald , T J W Honour

IIn this paper, we study a partially observed progressive optimal control problem of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random jumps, where the control domain is not necessarily convex, and the control variable enter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Yueyang Zheng , Jingtao Shi

For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Adam D. Bull

This paper is concerned with tests for changes in the jump behaviour of a time-continuous process. Based on results on weak convergence of a sequential empirical tail integral process, asymptotics of certain tests statistics for breaks in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 Axel Bücher , Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

This work provides a novel convergence analysis for stochastic optimization in terms of stopping times, addressing the practical reality that algorithms are often terminated adaptively based on observed progress. Unlike prior approaches,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Yasong Feng , Yifan Jiang , Tianyu Wang , Zhiliang Ying

In continuum one-dimensional space, a coupled directed continuous time random walk model is proposed, where the random walker jumps toward one direction and the waiting time between jumps affects the subsequent jump. In the proposed model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-20 Long Shi , Zuguo Yu , Zhi Mao , Aiguo Xiao

We consider systems of stochastic evolutionary equations of the $p$-Laplace type. We establish convergence rates for a finite-element based space-time approximation, where the error is measured in a suitable quasi-norm. Under natural…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Dominic Breit , Martina Hofmanova , Sebastien Loisel

In this paper, we propose a novel stochastic process that serves as a natural discrete-time counterpart to the continuous-time model known as the ``Poisson hyperbolic staircase'' proposed by Levikson et al. (1999), and clarify its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Naohiro Yoshida

The main purpose of this chapter is to present some theoretical aspects of parametric estimation of L\'evy processes based on high-frequency sampling, with a focus on infinite activity pure-jump models. Asymptotics for several classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-02 Hiroki Masuda

Under scenario of high frequency data, consistent estimator of realized Laplace transform of volatility is proposed by \citet{TT2012a} and related central limit theorem has been well established. In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Xinwei Feng , Lidan He , Zhi Liu

In this article we focus on estimating the quadratic covariation of continuous semimartingales from discrete observations that take place at asynchronous observation times. The Hayashi-Yoshida estimator serves as synchronized realized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger