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Accurate, efficient, and robust state estimation is more important than ever in robotics as the variety of platforms and complexity of tasks continue to grow. Historically, discrete-time filters and smoothers have been the dominant…

Structured state-space models (SSMs) have been developed to offer more persistent memory retention than traditional recurrent neural networks, while maintaining real-time inference capabilities and addressing the time-complexity limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Takashi Morita

We introduce PRISM, a method for real-time filtering in a probabilistic generative model of agent motion and visual perception. Previous approaches either lack uncertainty estimates for the map and agent state, do not run in real-time, do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Ahmed Agha , Patrick van der Smagt , Daniel Cremers , Justin Bayer

The reverse engineering problem with probabilities and sequential behavior is introducing here, using the expression of an algorithm. The solution is partially founded, because we solve the problem only if we have a Probabilistic Sequential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-08-13 Maria A. Avino-Diaz

Numerical simulations of complex multiphysics systems, such as char combustion considered herein, yield numerous state variables that inherently exhibit physical constraints. This paper presents a new approach to augment Operator Inference…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Hyeonghun Kim , Boris Kramer

Time series subject to change in regime have attracted much interest in domains such as econometry, finance or meteorology. For discrete-valued regimes, some models such as the popular Hidden Markov Chain (HMC) describe time series whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Neural network modules conditioned by known priors can be effectively trained and combined to represent systems with nonlinear dynamics. This work explores a novel formulation for data-efficient learning of deep control-oriented nonlinear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Elliott Skomski , Soumya Vasisht , Colby Wight , Aaron Tuor , Jan Drgona , Draguna Vrabie

In dynamical systems reconstruction (DSR) we aim to recover the dynamical system (DS) underlying observed time series. Specifically, we aim to learn a generative surrogate model which approximates the underlying, data-generating DS, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Alena Brändle , Lukas Eisenmann , Florian Götz , Daniel Durstewitz

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a general framework for sequential decision-making under latent state uncertainty, yet learning in POMDPs is intractable in the worst case. Motivated by sensing and probing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ming Shi , Yingbin Liang , Ness B. Shroff

The design and analysis of optimal control policies for dynamical systems can be complicated by nonlinear dependence in the state variables. Koopman operators have been used to simplify the analysis of dynamical systems by mapping the flow…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Craig Bakker , Steven Rosenthal , Kathleen E. Nowak

As large language models (LLMs) move from static reasoning tasks toward dynamic environments, their success depends on the ability to navigate and respond to an environment that changes as they interact at inference time. An underexplored…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Annie Wong , Aske Plaat , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein , Anna V. Kononova

To solve control problems via model-based reasoning or planning, an agent needs to know how its actions affect the state of the world. The actions an agent has at its disposal often change the state of the environment in systematic ways.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Tankred Saanum , Peter Dayan , Eric Schulz

A classical approach to formal policy synthesis in stochastic dynamical systems is to construct a finite-state abstraction, often represented as a Markov decision process (MDP). The correctness of these approaches hinges on a behavioural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Thom Badings , Alessandro Abate

Recommender systems aim to estimate the dynamically changing user preferences and sequential dependencies between historical user behaviour and metadata. Although transformer-based models have proven to be effective in sequential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Mark Obozov , Makar Baderko , Stepan Kulibaba , Nikolay Kutuzov , Alexander Gasnikov

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

Online monitoring aims to evaluate or to predict, at runtime, whether or not the behaviors of a system satisfy some desired specification. It plays a key role in safety-critical cyber-physical systems. In this work, we propose a new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-10 Xinyi Yu , Weijie Dong , Xiang Yin , Shaoyuan Li

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

Tensor networks are a powerful modeling framework developed for computational many-body physics, which have only recently been applied within machine learning. In this work we utilize a uniform matrix product state (u-MPS) model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Jacob Miller , Guillaume Rabusseau , John Terilla