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Models of dynamical systems based on predictive state representations (PSRs) are defined strictly in terms of observable quantities, in contrast with traditional models (such as Hidden Markov Models) that use latent variables or statespace…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Matthew Rudary , Satinder Singh , David Wingate

In this paper we study online Reinforcement Learning (RL) in partially observable dynamical systems. We focus on the Predictive State Representations (PSRs) model, which is an expressive model that captures other well-known models such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Wenhao Zhan , Masatoshi Uehara , Wen Sun , Jason D. Lee

Predictive state representations (PSRs) are models of controlled non-Markov observation sequences which exhibit the same generative process governing POMDP observations without relying on an underlying latent state. In that respect, a PSR…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Andrea Baisero , Christopher Amato

Predictive state representations (PSRs) offer an expressive framework for modelling partially observable systems. By compactly representing systems as functions of observable quantities, the PSR learning approach avoids using local-minima…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-22 William L. Hamilton , Mahdi Milani Fard , Joelle Pineau

We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms. We cast this problem as learning the parameters of a discrete Partially Observable Markov Decision Process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Seiji Shaw , Travis Manderson , Chad Kessens , Nicholas Roy

Predictive state representation~(PSR) uses a vector of action-observation sequence to represent the system dynamics and subsequently predicts the probability of future events. It is a concise knowledge representation that is well studied in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-29 Bilian Chen , Biyang Ma , Yifeng Zeng , Langcai Cao , Jing Tang

In this paper, we tackle the problem of transferring policy from multiple partially observable source environments to a partially observable target environment modeled as predictive state representation. This is an entirely new approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Sri Ramana Sekharan , Ramkumar Natarajan , Siddharthan Rajasekaran

Planning and learning in Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs) are among the most challenging tasks in both the AI and Operation Research communities. Although solutions to these problems are intractable in general, there might be special…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Eyal Even-Dar , Sham M. Kakade , Yishay Mansour

Many real-world dynamical systems can be described as State-Space Models (SSMs). In this formulation, each observation is emitted by a latent state, which follows first-order Markovian dynamics. A Probabilistic Deep SSM (ProDSSM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Recurrent State-space models (RSSMs) are highly expressive models for learning patterns in time series data and system identification. However, these models assume that the dynamics are fixed and unchanging, which is rarely the case in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Vaisakh Shaj , Dieter Buchler , Rohit Sonker , Philipp Becker , Gerhard Neumann

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

In most real-world reinforcement learning applications, state information is only partially observable, which breaks the Markov decision process assumption and leads to inferior performance for algorithms that conflate observations with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Hongming Zhang , Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

Latent state space models are a fundamental and widely used tool for modeling dynamical systems. However, they are difficult to learn from data and learned models often lack performance guarantees on inference tasks such as filtering and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Byron Boots , J. Andrew Bagnell

This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

We present a new model, Predictive State Recurrent Neural Networks (PSRNNs), for filtering and prediction in dynamical systems. PSRNNs draw on insights from both Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Predictive State Representations (PSRs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Carlton Downey , Ahmed Hefny , Boyue Li , Byron Boots , Geoffrey Gordon

A central problem in artificial intelligence is that of planning to maximize future reward under uncertainty in a partially observable environment. In this paper we propose and demonstrate a novel algorithm which accurately learns a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-12-15 Byron Boots , Sajid M. Siddiqi , Geoffrey J. Gordon

Representations are at the core of all deep reinforcement learning (RL) methods for both Markov decision processes (MDPs) and partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). Many representation learning methods and theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Tianwei Ni , Benjamin Eysenbach , Erfan Seyedsalehi , Michel Ma , Clement Gehring , Aditya Mahajan , Pierre-Luc Bacon

This work introduces Physics-informed State-space neural network Models (PSMs), a novel solution to achieving real-time optimization, flexibility, and fault tolerance in autonomous systems, particularly in transport-dominated systems such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Akshay J. Dave , Richard B. Vilim

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

A key challenge in scaling up Reinforcement Learning is generalizing learned behaviour. Without the ability to carry forward acquired knowledge an agent is doomed to learn each task from scratch. In this paper we develop a new formalism for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Ruben Vereecken , Luke Dickens , Alessandra Russo
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