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Sequential data modeling and analysis have become indispensable tools for analyzing sequential data, such as time-series data, because larger amounts of sensed event data have become available. These methods capture the sequential structure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Hiromi Narimatsu , Hiroyuki Kasai

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probabilistic models for repulsion. When used to represent the occurrence of random subsets of a finite base set, DPPs allow to model global negative associations in a mathematically elegant and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Autonomous agents are limited in their ability to observe the world state. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) formally model the problem of planning under world state uncertainty, but POMDPs with continuous actions and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Dicong Qiu , Yibiao Zhao , Chris L. Baker

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

Perceived signals in real-world scenarios are usually high-dimensional and noisy, and finding and using their representation that contains essential and sufficient information required by downstream decision-making tasks will help improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Biwei Huang , Chaochao Lu , Liu Leqi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Clark Glymour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Kun Zhang

Delays frequently occur in real-world environments, yet standard reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms often assume instantaneous perception of the environment. We study random sensor delays in POMDPs, where observations may arrive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Armin Karamzade , Kyungmin Kim , JB Lanier , Davide Corsi , Roy Fox

Learning latent representations from complex data is central to modern machine learning, spanning temporal, multimodal, and partially observed systems. In such settings, representations are better understood as latent states capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Gwenolé Quellec

We present a novel continuous time trajectory representation based on a Chebyshev polynomial basis, which when governed by known dynamics models, allows for full trajectory and robot dynamics estimation, particularly useful for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Varun Agrawal , Frank Dellaert

Inspired from modern out-of-equilibrium statistical physics models, a matrix product based framework permits the formal definition of random vectors (and random time series) whose desired joint distributions are a priori prescribed. Its key…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-21 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

This paper introduces a stochastic hybrid system (SHS) framework in state space model to capture sensor, communication, and system contingencies in modern power systems (MPS). Within this new framework, the paper concentrates on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Shuo Yuan , Le Yi Wang , George Yin , Masoud H. Nazari

This work develops novel strategies for optimal planning with semantic observations using continuous state partially observable markov decision processes (CPOMDPs). Two major innovations are presented in relation to Gaussian mixture (GM)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Luke Burks , Ian Loefgren , Nisar Ahmed

The standard approach for Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) is to convert them to a fully observed belief-state MDP. However, the belief state depends on the system model and is therefore not viable in reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Amit Sinha , Matthieu Geist , Aditya Mahajan

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

The stable operation of off-grid photovoltaic systems requires accurate, computationally efficient solar forecasting. Contemporary deep learning models often suffer from massive computational overhead and physical blindness, generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah

Multi-agent planning and reinforcement learning can be challenging when agents cannot see the state of the world or communicate with each other due to communication costs, latency, or noise. Partially Observable Stochastic Games (POSGs)…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Rafael F. Cunha , Jacopo Castellini , Johan Peralez , Jilles S. Dibangoye

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Object-centric world models provide structured representation of the scene and can be an important backbone in reinforcement learning and planning. However, existing approaches suffer in partially-observable environments due to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Gautam Singh , Skand Peri , Junghyun Kim , Hyunseok Kim , Sungjin Ahn

High-dimensional dynamical systems projected onto a reduced-order model cease to be deterministic and are best described by probability distributions in state space. Their equations of motion map onto an evolution operator with a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Javier Jiménez

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are a fundamental framework for decision-making under uncertainty and partial observability. Since in general optimal policies may require infinite memory, they are hard to implement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Muqsit Azeem , Debraj Chakraborty , Sudeep Kanav , Jan Kretinsky

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo