Related papers: Survival probabilities of autoregressive processes
In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…
We consider a strong Markov process with killing and prove an approximation method for the distribution of the process conditioned not to be killed when it is observed. The method is based on a Fleming-Viot type particle system with…
In this work we give a complete description to the asymptotic behaviors of exponential functionals of L\'evy processes and divide them into five different types according to their convergence rates. Not only their exact convergence speeds…
Let \xi_t, t\in[0,T], be a strong Markov process with values in a complete separable metric space (X,\rho) and with transition probability function P_{s,t}(x,dy), 0\le s\le t\le T, x\in X. For any h\in[0,T] and a>0, consider the function…
The number of steps until termination of a probabilistic program is a random variable. Probabilistic program termination therefore requires qualitative analysis via almost-sure termination (AST), while also providing quantitative answers…
In a network of reinforced stochastic processes, for certain values of the parameters, all the agents' inclinations synchronize and converge almost surely toward a certain random variable. The present work aims at clarifying when the agents…
Motivated by a variety of applications, high-dimensional time series have become an active topic of research. In particular, several methods and finite-sample theories for individual stable autoregressive processes with known lag have…
In this paper, we are interested in the asymptotic behaviour of the sequence of processes $(W_n(s,t))_{s,t\in[0,1]}$ with \begin{equation*} W_n(s,t):=\sum_{k=1}^{\lfloor nt\rfloor}\big(1_{\{\xi_{S_k}\leq s\}}-s\big) \end{equation*} where…
We consider the sum of two self-similar centred Gaussian processes with different self-similarity indices. Under non-negativity assumptions of covariance functions and some further minor conditions, we show that the asymptotic behaviour of…
An obvious way to simulate a L\'evy process $X$ is to sample its increments over time $1/n$, thus constructing an approximating random walk $X^{(n)}$. This paper considers the error of such approximation after the two-sided reflection map…
The mean survival is the key ingredient of the decision process in several applications, notably in health economic evaluations. It is defined as the area under the complete survival curve, thus necessitating extrapolation of the observed…
We investigate the problem of ballistically controlled reactions where particles either annihilate upon collision with probability $p$, or undergo an elastic shock with probability $1-p$. Restricting to homogeneous systems, we provide in…
In this paper we show that the continuous version of the self normalised process $Y_{n,p}(t)= S_n(t)/V_{n,p}+(nt-[nt])X_{[nt]+1}/V_{n,p}$ where $S_n(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{[nt]} X_i$ and $V_{(n,p)}= \sum_{i=1}^{n}|X_i|^p)^{\frac{1}{p}}$ and $X_i$…
We calculate the exact asymptotic survival probability, Q, of a one-dimensional Brownian particle, initially located located at the point x in (-L,L), in the presence of two moving absorbing boundaries located at \pm(L+ct). The result is…
We show that for several variations of partially observable Markov decision processes, polynomial-time algorithms for finding control policies are unlikely to or simply don't have guarantees of finding policies within a constant factor or a…
We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…
We study the approximability of Max Ones when the number of variable occurrences is bounded by a constant. For conservative constraint languages (i.e., when the unary relations are included) we give a complete classification when the number…
We refine previous results concerning the Renewal Contact Processes. We significantly widen the family of distributions for the interarrival times for which the critical value can be shown to be strictly positive. The result now holds for…
It has been recently discovered that some random processes may satisfy limit theorems even though they exhibit intermittency, namely an unusual growth of moments. In this paper we provide a deeper understanding of these intricate limiting…
This paper deals with inference in a class of stable but nearly-unstable processes. Autoregressive processes are considered, in which the bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with…