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We consider the interplay of vaccination and migration rates on disease persistence in epidemiological systems. We show that short-term and long-term migration can inhibit disease persistence. As a result, we show how migration changes how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-05-22 Jackson Burton , Lora Billings , Derek A. T. Cummings , Ira B. Schwartz

Refined vaccine regimens containing variant-matched inserts are often authorized based on historical phase 3 efficacy trials together with immunobridging studies. Phase 3 trials are essential for establishing immune biomarkers that reliably…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Pan Zhao , Peter B. Gilbert , Oliver Dukes , Bo Zhang

Background: African swine fever is among the most devastating viral diseases of pigs. Despite nearly a century of research, there is still no safe and effective vaccine available. The current situation is that either vaccines are safe but…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-25 Yang Jinlong , Yang JingXu

With the emergence and spread of infectious diseases with pandemic potential, such as COVID- 19, the urgency for vaccine development have led to unprecedented compressed and accelerated schedules that shortened the standard development…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

Conventional wisdom holds that influenza A and B are such genetically dissimilar viruses that infection with one cannot confer cross-immunity to the other. However, our examination of the records of the past 25 influenza seasons in the U.S.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-20 Sherry Towers , Zhilan Feng , Nathaniel Hupert

Early detection of person-to-person transmission of emerging infectious diseases such as avian influenza is crucial for containing pandemics. We developed a simple permutation test and its refined version for this purpose. A simulation…

Applications · Statistics 2007-09-14 Yang Yang , Ira M. Longini , M. Elizabeth Halloran

Studies of vaccine efficacy often record both the incidence of vaccine-targeted virus strains (primary outcome) and the incidence of non-targeted strains (secondary outcome). However, standard estimates of vaccine efficacy on targeted…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-02 Lola Etievant , Joshua N. Sampson , Mitchell H. Gail

The test-negative design (TND) has become a standard approach to evaluate vaccine effectiveness against the risk of acquiring infectious diseases in real-world settings, such as Influenza, Rotavirus, Dengue fever, and more recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

With COVID-19 having emerged as the most widespread human pandemic disease in a century, the need to control its spread to avoid massive loss of life became more than necessary, and extremely fast. Several vaccines were developed and the…

Preventing infectious disease like flu from spreading to large communities is one of the most important issues for humans. One effective strategy is voluntary vaccination, however, there is always the temptation for people refusing to be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Genki Ichinose , Takehiro Kurisaku

Influenza occurs every season and occasionally causes pandemics. Despite its low mortality rate, influenza is a major public health concern, as it can be complicated by severe diseases like pneumonia. A fast, accurate and low-cost method to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-01 Yanhua Xu , Dominik Wojtczak

Background: Network-based interventions are most powerful against epidemics when the full network structure is known. However, resource constraints often require decisions based on partial network data. We investigated how the effectiveness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-30 Yingrui Yang , Ashley McKhann , Guy Harling , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The dynamics of strongly immunizing childhood infections is still not well understood. Although reports of successful modeling of several incidence data records can be found in the literature, the key determinants of the observed temporal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-09 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

The vaccination against ongoing epidemics is seldom compulsory but remains one of the most classical means to fight epidemic propagation. However recent debates concerning the innocuity of vaccines and their risk with respect to the risk of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Laetitia Laguzet , Gabriel Turinici

Differing opinions about COVID-19 have led to various online discourses regarding vaccines. Due to the detrimental effects and the scale of the COVID-19 pandemic, detecting vaccine stance has become especially important and is attracting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Anique Tahir , Lu Cheng , Paras Sheth , Huan Liu

Each year, seasonal influenza epidemics cause hundreds of thousands of deaths worldwide and put high loads on health care systems. A main concern for resource planning is the risk of exceptionally severe epidemics. Taking advantage of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-29 Maud Thomas , Holger Rootzén

Infectious diseases cause more than 13 million deaths a year, worldwide. Globalization, urbanization, climate change, and ecological pressures have significantly increased the risk of a global pandemic. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic-the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Elizabeth Bradley , Madhav Marathe , Melanie Moses , William D Gropp , Daniel Lopresti

The emerging threat of a human pandemic caused by the H5N1 avian influenza virus strain magnifies the need for controlling the incidence of H5N1 infection in domestic bird populations. Culling is one of the most widely used control measures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-03 Hayriye Gulbudak , Maia Martcheva

In this paper, the authors develop a method of detecting correlations between epidemic patterns in different regions that are due to human movement and introduce a null model in which the travel-induced correlations are cancelled. They…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-06-24 Pascal Crépey , Marc Barthélemy

In this paper, we analyze the temporal evolution of the age-dependent force of infection and incidence of rubella, after the introduction of a very specific vaccination programme in a previously nonvaccinated population where rubella was in…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2009-06-05 M. Amaku , F. A. B. Coutinho , R. S. Azevedo , M. N. Burattini , L. F. Lopez , E. Massad