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We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

Network reconstruction is the task of inferring the unseen interactions between elements of a system, based only on their behavior or dynamics. This inverse problem is in general ill-posed, and admits many solutions for the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Tiago P. Peixoto

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

For oceanographic applications, probabilistic forecasts typically have to deal with i) high-dimensional complex models, and ii) very sparse spatial observations. In search-and-rescue operations at sea, for instance, the short-term…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-15 Florian Beiser , Håvard Heitlo Holm , Jo Eidsvik

Population size estimation based on the capture-recapture experiment is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, criminology, demography, etc. In many real-life scenarios, there exists inherent heterogeneity among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

In this paper, we expand upon and refine a monitoring strategy proposed for surveillance of diseases in finite, closed populations. This monitoring strategy consists of augmenting an arbitrarily non-representative data stream (such as a…

We study the problem of parameter estimation in time series stemming from general stochastic processes, where the outcomes may exhibit arbitrary temporal correlations. In particular, we address the question of how much Fisher information is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-06 Joseph A. Smiga , Marco Radaelli , Felix C. Binder , Gabriel T. Landi

The properties of the generalized Waring distribution defined on the non negative integers are reviewed. Formulas for its moments and its mode are given. A construction as a mixture of negative binomial distributions is also presented. Then…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Louis-Paul Rivest , Mamadou Yauck

Imputation is an attractive tool for dealing with the widespread issue of missing values. Consequently, studying and developing imputation methods has been an active field of research over the last decade. Faced with an imputation task and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Jeffrey Näf , Krystyna Grzesiak , Erwan Scornet

The Ricker model was introduced in the context of managing fishing stocks. It is a discrete non-linear iterative model given by $N(t+1)=rN(t)\exp(-N(t))$ where $N(t)$ is the population at time $t$. The model treated in this paper includes a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-08 Laurie Davies

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models provide a flexible framework for data analysis but are often hindered by the computational expense of traditional inference methods like MCMC. A fast, recursive algorithm proposed by Newton (2002)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Bernardo Flores

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Raw moments are used as a way to estimate species abundance distribution. The almost linear pattern of the log transformation of raw moments across scales allow us to extrapolate species abundance distribution for larger areas. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-06 Saeid Alirezazadeh , Khadijeh Alibabaei

An autoregressive-moving average model in which all roots of the autoregressive polynomial are reciprocals of roots of the moving average polynomial and vice versa is called an all-pass time series model. All-pass models are useful for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Beth Andrews , Richard A. Davis , F. Jay Breidt

The Marchenko method retrieves the responses to virtual sources in the subsurface, accounting for all orders of multiples. The method is based on two integral representations for focusing and Green's functions. In discretized form these…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-25 Johno van IJsseldijk , Kees Wapenaar

Camera traps enable the automatic collection of large quantities of image data. Ecologists use camera traps to monitor animal populations all over the world. In order to estimate the abundance of a species from camera trap data, ecologists…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Sara Beery , Arushi Agarwal , Elijah Cole , Vighnesh Birodkar

An important and emerging component of planetary exploration is sample retrieval and return to Earth. Obtaining and analyzing rock samples can provide unprecedented insight into the geology, geo-history and prospects for finding past life…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-09-15 Garrett Fleetwood , Jekan Thangavelautham

Hierarchical modeling of abundance in space or time using closed-population mark-recapture under heterogeneity (model M$_{h}$) presents two challenges: (i) finding a flexible likelihood in which abundance appears as an explicit parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2015-04-10 Matthew R. Schofield , Richard J. Barker

Despite of the great efforts during the censuses, occurrence of some nonsampling errors such as coverage error is inevitable. Coverage error which can be classified into two types of under-count and overcount occurs when there is no unique…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Sepideh Mosaferi

The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time (or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance insurances or public agency may be interested by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Thibault Lestang , Francesco Ragone , Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet