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When the number of subjects, $n$, is large, paired comparisons are often sparse. Here, we study statistical inference in a class of paired comparison models parameterized by a set of merit parameters, under an Erd\"{o}s--R\'{e}nyi…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Qiuping Wang , Lu Pan , Ting Yan

When data are missing due to at most one cause from some time to next time, we can make sampling distribution inferences about the parameter of the data by modeling the missing-data mechanism correctly. Proverbially, in case its mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-21 Kosuke Morikawa , Yutaka Kano

We consider a class of high-dimensional spatial filtering problems, where the spatial locations of observations are unknown and driven by the partially observed hidden signal. This problem is exceptionally challenging as not only is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-07 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

In this paper, we present a methodology for fisheries-related data that allows us to converge on a labeled image dataset by iterating over the dataset with multiple training and production loops that can exploit crowdsourcing interfaces. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Zhiyong Zhang , Pushyami Kaveti , Hanumant Singh , Abigail Powell , Erica Fruh , M. Elizabeth Clarke

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

This paper proposes a sparse regression strategy for discovery of ordinary differential equations from incomplete and noisy data. Inference is performed over both equation parameters and state variables using a statistically motivated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Teddy Meissner , Karl Glasner

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

Camera-traps is a relatively new but already popular instrument in the estimation of abundance of non-identifiable animals. Although camera-traps are convenient in application, there remain both theoretical complications such as spatial…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-23 Evgeny Ivanko

At a superficial level, the idea of maximum likelihood must be prehistoric: early hunters and gatherers may not have used the words ``method of maximum likelihood'' to describe their choice of where and how to hunt and gather, but it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Stephen M. Stigler

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé

Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

This paper introduces and analyzes a stochastic search method for parameter estimation in linear regression models in the spirit of Beran and Millar (1987). The idea is to generate a random finite subset of a parameter space which will…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-26 Lutz Duembgen , Dominic Schuhmacher , Richard Samworth

In this contribution, we propose a generic online (also sometimes called adaptive or recursive) version of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm applicable to latent variable models of independent observations. Compared to the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-02 Olivier Cappé , Eric Moulines

Since the pioneering work by Koenker and Bassett (1978), quantile regression models and its applications have become increasingly popular and important for research in many areas. In this paper, a random effects ordinal quantile regression…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-02 Rahim Alhamzawi

The search for new significant peaks over a energy spectrum often involves a statistical multiple hypothesis testing problem. Separate tests of hypothesis are conducted at different locations producing an ensemble of local p-values, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk , Jan Conrad , Brandon Anderson

Given the prevalence of missing data in modern statistical research, a broad range of methods is available for any given imputation task. How does one choose the `best' imputation method in a given application? The standard approach is to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Jeffrey Näf , Meta-Lina Spohn , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

We review Markov models of surplus in life insurance based on a counting process following Norberg (1991), uniting probabilistic theory with elements of practice largely drawn from UK experience. First, we organize models systematically…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Oytun Haçarız , Torsten Kleinow , Angus S. Macdonald

The concept of Fisher information can be useful even in cases where the probability distributions of interest are not absolutely continuous with respect to the natural reference measure on the underlying space. Practical examples where this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra , Sumeetpal S. Singh

This paper derives confidence intervals (CI) and time-uniform confidence sequences (CS) for the classical problem of estimating an unknown mean from bounded observations. We present a general approach for deriving concentration bounds, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Ian Waudby-Smith , Aaditya Ramdas
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