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The so-called Simpson's "paradox", or Yule-Simpson (YS) effect, occurs in classical statistics when the correlations that are present among different sets of samples are reversed if the sets are combined together, thus ignoring one or more…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Matteo G. A. Paris

This paper describes Simpson's paradox, and explains its serious implications for randomised control trials. In particular, we show that for any number of variables we can simulate the result of a controlled trial which uniformly points to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-04 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil , Anthony Constantinou

We study a generalisation of Simpson reversal (also known as Simpson's paradox or the Yule-Simpson effect) to $2 \times 2 \times 2$ contingency tables and characterise the cases for which it can and cannot occur with two…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Svante Linusson , Matthew T. Stamps

The occurrence of Simpson's paradox (SP) in $2\times 2$ contingency tables has been well studied. The present work comprehensively revisits this problem using a combination of philosophical reflections, causal considerations, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Palash Sarkar , Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay

Simpson's paradox, a long-standing statistical phenomenon, describes the reversal of an observed association when data are disaggregated into sub-populations. It has critical implications across statistics, epidemiology, economics, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yi Yang , Jian Pei , Jun Yang , Jichun Xie

Well known Simpson's paradox is puzzling and surprising for many, especially for the empirical researchers and users of statistics. However there is no surprise as far as mathematical details are concerned. A lot more is written about the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

Simpson's Paradox is a well-known phenomenon in statistical science, where the relationship between the response variable $X$ and a certain explanatory factor of interest $A$ reverses when an additional factor $B_1$ is considered. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Guisheng Dai , Weizhen Wang

Observational data about human behavior is often heterogeneous, i.e., generated by subgroups within the population under study that vary in size and behavior. Heterogeneity predisposes analysis to Simpson's paradox, whereby the trends…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Kristina Lerman

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit Simpson's paradox using a statistical misspecification perspective. It is argued that the reversal of statistical associations is sometimes spurious, stemming from invalid probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Aris Spanos

We show that boson correlations from quantum states with a Glauber-Sudarshan representation of their density matrix which provides a well-behaved probability distribution -- including coherent states, thermal states, and all states that can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-20 Daniel E. Salazar , Fabrice P. Laussy

Given two sets of data which lead to a similar statistical conclusion, the Simpson Paradox describes the tactic of combining these two sets and achieving the opposite conclusion. Depending upon the given data, this may or may not succeed.…

Applications · Statistics 2008-01-30 Ora E. Percus , Jerome K. Percus

The precession protocol involves measuring $P_3$, the probability that a uniformly precessing observable (like the position of a harmonic oscillator or a coordinate undergoing spatial rotation) is positive at one of three equally spaced…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Lin Htoo Zaw , Mirjam Weilenmann , Valerio Scarani

Data based judgments go into artificial intelligence applications but they undergo paradoxical reversal when seemingly unnecessary additional data is provided. Examples of this are Simpson's reversal and the disjunction effect where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Subhash Kak

Quantum paradoxes show that quantum statistics can exceed the limits of positive joint probabilities for physical properties that cannot be measured jointly. It is therefore impossible to describe the relations between the different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Holger F. Hofmann

Statistical learning using imprecise probabilities is gaining more attention because it presents an alternative strategy for reducing irreplicable findings by freeing the user from the task of making up unwarranted high-resolution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Ruobin Gong , Xiao-Li Meng

Simpson's paradox and collapsibility are two closely related concepts in the context of data analysis. While the knowledge about the occurrence of Simpson's paradox helps a statistician to draw correct and meaningful conclusions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy

Quantum superposition states are behind many of the curious phenomena exhibited by quantum systems, including Bell non-locality, quantum interference, quantum computational speed-up, and the measurement problem. At the same time, many…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-03 John-Mark A. Allen

Simpson's paradox is an obstacle to establishing a probabilistic association between two events $a_1$ and $a_2$, given the third (lurking) random variable $B$. We focus on scenarios when the random variables $A$ (which combines $a_1$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 A. Hovhannisyan , A. E. Allahverdyan

Conditional probabilities in quantum systems which have both initial and final boundary conditions are commonly evaluated using the Aharonov-Bergmann-Lebowitz rule. In this short note we present a seemingly disturbing paradox that appears…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-22 Yakir Aharonov , Eliahu Cohen , David H. Oaknin

The analysis of contingency tables is a powerful statistical tool used in experiments with categorical variables. This study improves parts of the theory underlying the use of contingency tables. Specifically, the linkage disequilibrium…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Friedrich Teuscher
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