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Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

Our aim in this article is to provide explicit computable estimates for the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) and the $p$-th order moment of the exponential functional of a fractional Brownian motion (fBM) with drift. Using…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 José Alfredo López-Mimbela , Gerardo Pérez-Suárez

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

We study the persistence properties of a fractional Brownian motion whose Hurst exponent is a random variable instead of a fixed constant. For each fixed $H \in (0,1)$, it is well known that the persistence probability of an FBM below a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Frank Aurzada , Sabine Müller

Brownian motion is the only random process which is Gaussian, stationary and Markovian. Dropping the Markovian property, i.e. allowing for memory, one obtains a class of processes called fractional Brownian motion, indexed by the Hurst…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-27 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

We study the persistence probability for some discrete-time, time-reversible processes. In particular, we deduce the persistence exponent in a number of examples: first, we deal with random walks in random sceneries (RWRS) in any dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

In this paper we introduce the \textit{multivariate} Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes and study the joint asymptotic behaviour of its realised covariation using in-fill asymptotics. First, we present a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider the persistence probability of a certain fractional Gaussian process $M^H$ that appears in the Mandelbrot-van Ness representation of fractional Brownian motion. This process is self-similar and smooth. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Frank Aurzada , Pascal Mittenbühler

In this paper, we introduce a new class of estimators of the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) process. These estimators are based on sample expectiles of discrete variations of a sample path of the fBm process. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-06 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Hedi Kortas

We show that the longitudinal position $x(t)$ of a particle in a $(d+1)$-dimensional layered random velocity field (the Matheron-de Marsily model) can be identified as a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by a variable Hurst…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar

Motivated by certain problems of statistical physics we consider a stationary stochastic process in which deterministic evolution is interrupted at random times by upward jumps of a fixed size. If the evolution consists of linear decay, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 O. Deloubriere , H. J. Hilhorst

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

Stochastic exponential growth is observed in a variety of contexts, including molecular autocatalysis, nuclear fission, population growth, inflation of the universe, viral social media posts, and financial markets. Yet literature on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-06-14 Dan Pirjol , Farshid Jafarpour , Srividya Iyer-Biswas

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

Brownian and fractional processes are useful computational tools for the modelling of physical phenomena. Here, modelling linear homopolymers in solution as Brownian or fractional processes, we develop a formalism to take into account both…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-01-23 Samuel Eleutério , R. Vilela Mendes

A general class of non-Markov, supercritical Gaussian branching particle systems is introduced and its long-time asymptotics is studied. Both weak and strong laws of large numbers are developed with the limit object being characterized in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Michael A. Kouritzin , Khoa Lê , Deniz Sezer

We introduce a new Gaussian process, a generalization of both fractional and subfractional Brownian motions, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. We study its main stochastic properties and some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mounir Zili

We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky