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In some non-regular statistical estimation problems, the limiting likelihood processes are functionals of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst's parameter H; 0 < H <=? 1. In this paper we present several analytical and numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia , Timothy Ling

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

A possible mechanism leading to anomalous diffusion is the presence of long-range correlations in time between the displacements of the particles. Fractional Brownian motion, a non-Markovian self-similar Gaussian process with stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-03 Alexander H O Wada , Alex Warhover , Thomas Vojta

Closed-form expressions, parametrized by the Hurst exponent $H$ and the length $n$ of a time series, are derived for paths of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) and fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) in the $\mathcal{A}-\mathcal{T}$ plane,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-01 Mariusz Tarnopolski

We analyze here different forms of fractional relaxation equations of order {\nu}\in(0,1) and we derive their solutions both in analytical and in probabilistic forms. In particular we show that these solutions can be expressed as crossing…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Luisa Beghin

There is much confusion in the literature over Hurst exponent (H). The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the difference between fractional Brownian motion (fBm) on the one hand and Gaussian Markov processes where H is different to 1/2…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-10 G. Millán

We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

For many stochastic processes, the probability $S(t)$ of not-having reached a target in unbounded space up to time $t$ follows a slow algebraic decay at long times, $S(t)\sim S_0/t^\theta$. This is typically the case of symmetric compact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-09 N. Levernier , M. Dolgushev , O. Bénichou , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin

We consider a slightly subcritical branching Brownian motion with absorption, where particles move as Brownian motions with drift $-\sqrt{2+2\varepsilon}$, undergo dyadic fission at rate $1$, and are killed when they reach the origin. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jiaqi Liu

We calculate the exact asymptotic survival probability, Q, of a one-dimensional Brownian particle, initially located located at the point x in (-L,L), in the presence of two moving absorbing boundaries located at \pm(L+ct). The result is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Alan J. Bray , Richard Smith

Local expansion exponents for nonequilibrium dynamical systems, described by partial differential equations, are introduced. These exponents show whether the system phase volume expands, contracts, or is conserved in time. The ways of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. I. Yukalov

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Making use of a Rice-like series expansion, for a class of stationary Gaussian processes the asymptotic behavior of the first passage time probability density function through certain time-varying boundaries, including periodic boundaries,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Di Nardo , A. G. Nobile , E. Pirozzi , L. M. Ricciardi

The non-gaussianity of processes observed in financial markets and relatively good performance of gaussian models can be reconciled by replacing the Brownian motion with Levy processes whose Levy densities decay as exp(-lambda|x|) or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Levendorskii

We study fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characterized by the Hurst exponent H. Using a Monte Carlo sampling technique, we are able to numerically generate fBm processes with an absorbing boundary at the origin at discrete times for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

A function $f=f_T$ is called least energy approximation to a function $B$ on the interval $[0,T]$ with penalty $Q$ if it solves the variational problem $$ \int_0^T \left[ f'(t)^2 + Q(f(t)-B(t)) \right] dt \searrow \min. $$ For quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Zakhar Kabluchko , Mikhail Lifshits

Reaction-diffusion process with exclusion in the presence of traps has been studied. The asymptotic survival probability for the case of uniformly distributed random traps shows a stretched e\ xponential behavior. We show that additional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Trilochan Bagarti , Kalyan Kundu

We obtain exponential moment asymptotics for the Bessel point process. As a direct consequence, we improve on the asymptotics for the expectation and variance of the associated counting function, and establish several central limit…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-05-11 Christophe Charlier