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We use freeness assumptions of random matrix theory to analyze the dynamical behavior of inference algorithms for probabilistic models with dense coupling matrices in the limit of large systems. For a toy Ising model, we are able to recover…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Manfred Opper , Burak Çakmak

We take on a Random Matrix theory viewpoint to study the spectrum of certain reversible Markov chains in random environment. As the number of states tends to infinity, we consider the global behavior of the spectrum, and the local behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafai

Ranking data are frequently obtained nowadays but there are still scarce methods for treating these data when temporally observed. The present paper contributes to this topic by proposing and developing novel models for handling time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Luiza Piancastelli , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We show that the operatorial framework developed by Voiculescu for free random variables can be extended to arrays of random variables whose multiplication imitates matricial multiplication. The associated notion of independence, called…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2010-05-28 Romuald Lenczewski

We present a new, tractable method for solving and analyzing risk-aware control problems over finite and infinite, discounted time-horizons where the dynamics of the controlled process are described as a martingale problem. Supposing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Jukka Isohätälä , William B. Haskell

We study the competitive equilibrium of large random economies with linear activities using methods of statistical mechanics. We focus on economies with $C$ commodities, $N$ firms, each running a randomly drawn linear technology, and one…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 A. De Martino , M. Marsili , I. Pérez Castillo

Motivated by recent advances in the spectral theory of auto-covariance matrices, we are led to revisit a reformulation of Markowitz' mean-variance portfolio optimization approach in the time domain. In its simplest incarnation it applies to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-22 Peter A. Bebbington , Reimer Kuehn

We investigate joint spectral characteristics of a family of matrices $\mathcal F $, associated with products in the semigroup generated by $\mathcal F$. In the literature, extremal measures such as the well-known joint spectral radius and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Francesco Paolo Maiale , Anastasiia Trofimova , Nicola Guglielmi

The numerical availability of statistical inference methods for a modern and robust analysis of longitudinal- and multivariate data in factorial experiments is an essential element in research and education. While existing approaches that…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-25 Sarah Friedrich , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

Random matrix products arise in many science and engineering problems. An efficient evaluation of its growth rate is of great interest to researchers in diverse fields. In the current paper, we reformulate this problem with a generating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-04 Naranmandula Bao , Junbiao Lu , Yueheng Lan

Covariance matrices of amino acid displacements, commonly used to characterize the large-scale movements of proteins, are investigated through the prism of Random Matrix Theory. Bulk universality is detected in the local spacing statistics…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Raffaello Potestio , Fabio Caccioli , Pierpaolo Vivo

Through simple analytical calculations and numerical simulations, we demonstrate the generic existence of a self-organized macroscopic state in any large multivariate system possessing non-vanishing average correlations between a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

In the last decade, spectral linear statistics on large dimensional random matrices have attracted significant attention. Within the physics community, a privileged role has been played by invariant matrix ensembles for which a two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-02-18 Fabio Deelan Cunden , Paolo Facchi , Pierpaolo Vivo

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We derive an estimate of statistical error in calculating the trace of a large matrix by using random vector, and show that {\em random phase vector} gives the results with the smallest statistical error for a given basis set. This result…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Toshiaki Iitaka , Toshikazu Ebisuzaki

We propose a new approach for properly analyzing stochastic time series by mapping the dynamics of time series fluctuations onto a suitable nonequilibrium surface-growth problem. In this framework, the fluctuation sampling time interval…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Alexander S. Balankin

A continuous-time Markov chain rate change formula for simulation, model selection, filtering and theory is proven. It is used to develop Markov chain importance sampling, rejection sampling, branching particle filtering algorithms and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-14 Michael A. Kouritzin