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This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

Portfolio theory is a very powerful tool in the modern investment theory. It is helpful in estimating risk of an investor's portfolio, which arises from our lack of information, uncertainty and incomplete knowledge of reality, which forbids…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-04-27 Malgorzata Snarska , Jakub Krzych

This paper investigates the issue of determining the dimensions of row and column factor spaces in matrix-valued data. Exploiting the eigen-gap in the spectrum of sample second moment matrices of the data, we propose a family of randomised…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-29 Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Lorenzo Trapani , Long Yu

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

Many dynamical systems can be successfully analyzed by representing them as networks. Empirically measured networks and dynamic processes that take place in these situations show heterogeneous, non-Markovian, and intrinsically correlated…

The traditional class of elliptical distributions is extended to allow for asymmetries. A completely robust dispersion matrix estimator (the `spectral estimator') for the new class of `generalized elliptical distributions' is presented. It…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Gabriel Frahm , Uwe Jaekel

In this study, we consider the realm of covariance matrices in machine learning, particularly focusing on computing Fr\'echet means on the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices, commonly referred to as Karcher or geometric means.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-06 Florent Bouchard , Ammar Mian , Malik Tiomoko , Guillaume Ginolhac , Frédéric Pascal

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

This paper considers the Linear Minimum Variance recursive state estimation for the linear discrete time dynamic system with random state transition and measurement matrices, i.e., random parameter matrices Kalman filtering. It is shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Dandan Luo , Yunmin Zhu

A recently discovered universal rank-based matrix method to extract trends from noisy time series is described in [1] but the formula for the output matrix elements, implemented there as an open-access supplement MATLAB computer code, is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-24 D. J. Kestner , G. R. Ierley , A. B. Kostinski

Random feature maps are ubiquitous in modern statistical machine learning, where they generalize random projections by means of powerful, yet often difficult to analyze nonlinear operators. In this paper, we leverage the "concentration"…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-18 Zhenyu Liao , Romain Couillet

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regression models can involve a huge number of coefficients. Careful prior elicitation is required to yield sensible posterior and predictive inferences. In addition, the computational demands of Markov Chain…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-15 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

Random matrices now play a role in many parts of computational mathematics. To advance these applications, it is desirable to have tools that are flexible, easy to use, and powerful. Over the last 25 years, researchers have developed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Joel A. Tropp

Time series of graphs are increasingly prevalent in modern data and pose unique challenges to visual exploration and pattern extraction. This paper describes the development and application of matrix factorizations for exploration and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Shawn Mankad , George Michailidis

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

In this paper, we introduce a novel theoretical framework for multi-task regression, applying random matrix theory to provide precise performance estimations, under high-dimensional, non-Gaussian data distributions. We formulate a…

Low-rank matrix factorizations arise in a wide variety of applications -- including recommendation systems, topic models, and source separation, to name just a few. In these and many other applications, it has been widely noted that by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Liangbei Xu , Mark A. Davenport

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has an established reputation as a useful data analysis technique in numerous applications. However, its usage in practical situations is undergoing challenges in recent years. The fundamental factor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Mariano Tepper , Guillermo Sapiro

We present a very fast algorithm for general matrix factorization of a data matrix for use in the statistical analysis of high-dimensional data via latent factors. Such data are prevalent across many application areas and generate an…

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