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In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

We introduce a new oriented evolving graph model inspired by biological networks. A node is added at each time step and is connected to the rest of the graph by random oriented edges emerging from older nodes. This leads to a statistical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-04-10 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard

Coalescent processes, including mutation, are derived from Moran type population models admitting large offspring numbers. Including mutation in the coalescent process allows for quantifying the turnover of alleles by computing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Bjarki Eldon

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

Coalescents with multiple collisions (also called Lambda-coalescents or simple exchangeable coalescents) are used as models of genealogies. We study a new class of Markovian coalescent processes connected to a population model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-02 Clément Foucart

We study a simple model of DNA evolution in a growing population of cells. Each cell contains a nucleotide sequence which randomly mutates at cell division. Cells divide according to a branching process. Following typical parameter values…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

Obtaining a closed-form sampling distribution for the coalescent with recombination is a challenging problem. In the case of two loci, a new framework based on asymptotic series has recently been developed to derive closed-form results when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Anand Bhaskar , Yun S. Song

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a single genetic locus with two alleles $A_1$ and $A_2$ in a large haploid population. The locus is subject to selection and two-way, or recurrent, mutation. Assuming the allele frequencies follow a Wright-Fisher diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Statistical properties of the site frequency spectrum associated with Lambda-coalescents are our objects of study. In particular, we derive recursions for the expected value, variance, and covariance of the spectrum, extending earlier…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-27 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath , Bjarki Eldon

The star-shaped $\Lambda$-coalescent and corresponding $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process where the $\Lambda$ measure has a single atom at unity are studied in this paper. The transition functions and stationary distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Robert Griffiths , Shuhei Mano

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

Kingman's coalescent is one of the most popular models in population genetics. It describes the genealogy of a population whose genetic composition evolves in time according to the Wright-Fisher model, or suitable approximations of it…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-20 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Paul A. Jenkins

We construct an extension of the Lambda-coalescent to a spatial continuum and analyse its behaviour. Like the Lambda-coalescent, the individuals in our model can be separated into (i) a dust component and (ii) large blocks of coalesced…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Nic Freeman

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

For a random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}$ that is attracted to a strictly stable process with index $\alpha\in (1, 2)$ we obtain the asymptotic form of the transition probability for the walk killed when it hits a finite set.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-24 Kohei Uchiyama

The measure-valued Fleming-Viot process is a diffusion which models the evolution of allele frequencies in a multi-type population. In the neutral setting the Kingman coalescent is known to generate the genealogies of the "individuals" in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Andreas Greven , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anita Winter

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of individual-based models describing the evolution of a population structured by a real trait, subject to selection and mutation. We consider two different sets of assumptions: first,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Anouar Jeddi

In this paper, we study the asymptotic (large time) behavior of a selection-mutation-competition model for a population structured with respect to a phenotypic trait, when the rate of mutation is very small. We assume that the reproduction…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Àngel Calsina , Sílvia Cuadrado , Laurent Desvillettes , Gaël Raoul