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A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

The ability to synthesize realistic data in a parametrizable way is valuable for a number of reasons, including privacy, missing data imputation, and evaluating the performance of statistical and computational methods. When the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Zuofu Huang , Julian Wolfson , Jayne A. Fulkerson , Ryan Demmer , Helen N. Chen

We study the empirical process indexed by F^2=\{f^2 : f \in F\}, where F is a class of mean-zero functions on a probability space. We present a sharp bound on the supremum of that process which depends on the \psi_1 diameter of the class F…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Shahar Mendelson

We use the $f-divergence$ also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-20 A. R. Baigorri , C. R. Goncalves , P. A. A. Resende

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

We study normal approximations for a class of discrete-time occupancy processes, namely, Markov chains with transition kernels of product Bernoulli form. This class encompasses numerous models which appear in the complex networks…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Ross McVinish , Philip K. Pollett

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

In this paper, weak convergences of marked empirical processes in $L^2(\mathbb{R},\nu)$ and their applications to statistical goodness-of-fit tests are provided, where $L^2(\mathbb{R},\nu)$ is the set of equivalence classes of the square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda , Yoichi Nishiyama

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between generic smooth observations computed along different trajectories of a rapidly mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, we obtain a distribution of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-31 Theophile Caby

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We present a general approach for studying autoregressive categorical time series models with dependence of infinite order and defined conditional on an exogenous covariate process. To this end, we adapt a coupling approach, developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Lionel Truquet

We consider the convergence of empirical processes indexed by functions that depend on an estimated parameter $\eta$ and give several alternative conditions under which the ``estimated parameter'' $\eta_n$ can be replaced by its natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-12 Aad W. van der Vaart , Jon A. Wellner

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt

A new method, with an application program in Matlab code, is proposed for testing item performance models on empirical databases. This method uses data intraclass correlation statistics as expected correlations to which one compares simple…

The limits of scaled relative entropies between probability distributions associated with N-particle weakly interacting Markov processes are considered. The convergence of such scaled relative entropies is established in various settings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer , Kavita Ramanan