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We consider a piecewise-deterministic Markov process governed by a jump intensity function, a rate function that determines the behaviour between jumps, and a stochastic kernel describing the conditional distribution of jump sizes. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 K. A. Borovkov , G. Last

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Coarse-graining techniques play a central role in reducing the complexity of stochastic models, and are typically characterised by a mapping which projects the full state of the system onto a smaller set of variables which captures the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Bastian Hilder , Upanshu Sharma

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

Despite the ubiquity of U-statistics in modern Probability and Statistics, their non-asymptotic analysis in a dependent framework may have been overlooked. In a recent work, a new concentration inequality for U-statistics of order two for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann De Castro , Claire Lacour

Inference, prediction and control of complex dynamical systems from time series is important in many areas, including financial markets, power grid management, climate and weather modeling, or molecular dynamics. The analysis of such highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-19 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

Stochastic optimization methods such as mirror descent have wide applications due to low computational cost. Those methods have been well studied under assumption of the independent and identical distribution, and usually achieve sublinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Yawei Zhao

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

In this paper we present the concept of description of random processes in complex systems with the discrete time. It involves the description of kinetics of discrete processes by means of the chain of finite-difference non-Markov equations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Renat Yulmetyev , Reter Hanggi , Fail Gafarov

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We consider a Markov chain $(x_n)$ whose kernel is indexed by a scaling parameter $\gamma>0$, refered to as the step size. The aim is to analyze the behavior of the Markov chain in the doubly asymptotic regime where $n\to\infty$ then…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Adil Salim

In this paper we propose an alternative to the coupling of Berkes, Liu and Wu [1] to obtain strong approximations for partial sums of dependent sequences. The main tool is a new Rosen-thal type inequality expressed in terms of the coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

The main purpose of this article is to establish moderate deviation principles for additive functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. Bifurcating Markov chains are a class of processes which are indexed by a regular binary tree. They can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Gorgui Gackou

We consider multivariate copula-based stationary time-series under Gaussian subordination. Observed time series are subordinated to long-range dependent Gaussian processes and characterized by arbitrary marginal copula distributions. First…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 Yusufu Simayi

This paper presents new uniform Gaussian strong approximations for empirical processes indexed by classes of functions based on $d$-variate random vectors ($d\geq1$). First, a uniform Gaussian strong approximation is established for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Matias D. Cattaneo , Ruiqi Rae Yu

In this paper, the weak convergence of impulsive recurrent process with Markov switching in the scheme of Levy approximation is proved. For the relative compactness, a method proposed by R. Liptser for semimartingales is used with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 V. S. Koroliuk , N. Limnios , I. V. Samoilenko
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