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We prove a sequence of limiting results about weakly dependent stationary and regularly varying stochastic processes in discrete time. After deducing the limiting distribution for individual clusters of extremes, we present a new type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Bojan Basrak , Hrvoje Planinic , Philippe Soulier

We introduce a new framework that yields spectral bounds on norms of functions of transition maps for finite, homogeneous Markov chains. The techniques employed work for bounded semigroups, in particular for classical as well as for quantum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-16 Oleg Szehr , David Reeb , Michael M. Wolf

Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Anru Zhang , Mengdi Wang

This paper considers functional central limit theorems for stationary absolutely regular mixing processes. Bounds for the entropy with bracketing are derived using recent results in Nickl and P\"otscher (2007). More specifically, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-27 Guido M. Kuersteiner

Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when they have a huge impact. Rare event algorithms have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Dario Lucente , Joran Rolland , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Bijan Mazaheri , Jiaqi Zhang , Caroline Uhler

In this article we study a piecewise linear discretization schemes for transfer operators (Perron-Frobenius operators) associated with interval maps. We show how these can be used to provide rigorous {\bf pointwise} approximations for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-08-04 Wael Bahsoun , Christopher Bose

Motivated by applications in functional data analysis, we study the partial sum process of sparsely observed, random functions. A key novelty of our analysis are bounds for the distributional distance between the limit Brownian motion and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Tim Kutta , Piotr Kokoszka

We present an approximate analytical expression for the escape rate of time-dependent driven stochastic processes with an absorbing boundary such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire model for neural spiking. The novel approximation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

In this paper, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical measures of a system of weakly interacting diffusion with reflection. We adopt the weak convergence approach. To make this approach work, we show that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Ping Cheng , Rong Wei , Tusheng Zhang

We study the exponential dissipation of entropic functionals for continuous time Markov chains and the associated convex Sobolev inequalities, including MLSI and Beckner inequalities. We propose a method that combines the Bakry \'Emery…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Giovanni Conforti

Let $(X_{\underline{\ell}})_{\underline{\ell} \in \mathbb Z^d}$ be a real random field (r.f.) indexed by $\mathbb Z^d$ with common probability distribution function $F$. Let $(z_k)_{k=0}^\infty$ be a sequence in $\mathbb Z^d$. The empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Guy Cohen , Jean-Pierre Conze

We study current fluctuations in lattice gases in the hydrodynamic scaling limit. More precisely, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical current in the symmetric simple exclusion process with rate functional I. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

We obtain estimates on the decay of correlations, Central Limit Theorem and Large Deviations for dynamical systems admitting an induced weak Gibbs--Markov map, for larger classes of observables with weaker regularity than H\"{o}lder,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Asad Ullah , Helder Vilarinho

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan

For moving average processes with random coefficients and heavy-tailed innovations that are weakly dependent in the sense of strong mixing and local dependence condition $D'$ we study joint functional convergence of partial sums and maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Danijel Krizmanic

The concentration of empirical measures is studied for dependent data, whose joint distribution satisfies Poincar\'{e}-type or logarithmic Sobolev inequalities. The general concentration results are then applied to spectral empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-30 S. G. Bobkov , F. Götze

We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung