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The paper presents a multidimensional model for nonlinear Markovian random walks that generalizes one we developed previously (Phys. Rev. E v.79, 011110, 2009) in order to describe the Levy type stochastic processes in terms of continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andreas Heuer

The process of diffusion is the most elementary stochastic transport process. Brownian motion, the representative model of diffusion, played a important role in the advancement of scientific fields such as physics, chemistry, biology and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-11 Alexandre Bovet

Time-averaged autocorrelation functions of a dichotomous random process switching between 1 and 0 and governed by wide power law sojourn time distribution are studied. Such a process, called a L\'evy walk, describes dynamical behaviors of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gennady Margolin , Eli Barkai

Subspace methods like canonical variate analysis (CVA) are regression based methods for the estimation of linear dynamic state space models. They have been shown to deliver accurate (consistent and asymptotically equivalent to quasi maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Dietmar Bauer

Stochastic averaging problems with Gaussian forcing have been studied thoroughly for many years, but far less attention has been paid to problems where the stochastic forcing has infinite variance, such as an {\alpha}-stable noise forcing.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-24 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam. H. Monahan

We investigate the parameter estimation and prediction of two forms of the stochastic SIR model driven by small L\'{e}vy noise with time-dependent periodic transmission. We present consistency and rate of convergence results for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

In this paper we study the simple semi-L\'evy driven continuous-time generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (SS-COGARCH) process. The statistical properties of this process are characterized. This process has the potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 M. Mohammadi , S. Rezakhah , N. Modarresi

In this work, a stochastic representation based on a physical transport principle is proposed to account for mesoscale eddy effects on the large-scale oceanic circulation. This stochastic framework arises from a decomposition of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-07-26 Long Li , Bruno Deremble , Noé Lahaye , Etienne Mémin

We study sums of independent and identically distributed random velocities in special relativity. We show that the resulting one-dimensional velocity distributions are not only stable under relativistic velocity addition but define a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-03 Lucas G. B. de Souza , M. G. E. da Luz , E. P. Raposo , Evaldo M. F. Curado , G. M. Viswanathan

By using large deviation theory that deals with the decay of probabilities of rare events on an exponential scale, we study the longtime behaviors and establish action functionals for scaled Brownian motion and L\'evy processes with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

We investigate some recursive procedures based on an exact or ``approximate'' Euler scheme with decreasing step in vue to computation of invariant measures of solutions to S.D.E. driven by a L\'evy process. Our results are valid for a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-02 Fabien Panloup

To provide a more accurate description of the driving behaviors in vehicle queues, a namely Markov-Gap cellular automata model is proposed in this paper. It views the variation of the gap between two consequent vehicles as a Markov process…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-04-23 Fa Wang , Li Li , Jianming Hu , Yan Ji , Danya Yao , Yi Zhang , Xuexiang Jin , Yuelong Su , Zheng Wei

Autoregressive generative models -- including Transformers, recurrent neural networks, classical Kalman filters, state space models, and Mamba -- all generate sequences by sampling each output from a deterministic summary of the past,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-17 Takahiro Sagawa

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average (VARMA) models form a powerful and general model class for analyzing dynamics among multiple time series. While VARMA models encompass the Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models, their popularity in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Marie-Christine Düker , David S. Matteson , Ruey S. Tsay , Ines Wilms

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer