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Descriptions of complex physical or biological systems often include stochastic contributions, and these are commonly simulated using Wiener processes. In many cases however, non-Gaussian fluctuations may originate from non-Wiener processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-19 Richard D. J. G. Ho

We study whether a multivariate L\'evy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

In this paper, we study the compressibility of random processes and fields, called generalized L\'evy processes, that are solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by $d$-dimensional periodic L\'evy white noises. Our results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Julien Fageot , Michael Unser , John Paul Ward

L\'evy stable (jump-type) processes are examples of intrinsically nonlocal random motions. This property becomes a serious obstacle if one attempts to model conditions under which a particular L\'evy process may be subject to physically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-11-10 Piotr Garbaczewski , Mariusz Żaba

We address the problem of defining early warning indicators of critical transition. To this purpose, we fit the relevant time series through a class of linear models, known as Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (ARMA(p,q)) models. We define two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-18 Davide Faranda , Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons , Bérengère Dubrulle

Discovering explicit governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems with both (Gaussian) Brownian noise and (non-Gaussian) L\'evy noise from data is chanllenging due to possible intricate functional forms and the inherent complexity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-01 Yang Li , Shengyuan Xu , Jinqiao Duan

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial mathematics, telecommunication, economics, queueing theory and natural sciences for modelling. We propose an essentially asymptotically efficient estimation method for the system parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-14 Máté Mánfay , László Gerencsér , Zsanett Orlovits

A stochastic process with movement, return, and rest phases is considered in this paper. For the movement phase, the particles move following the dynamics of Gaussian process or ballistic type of L\'evy walk, and the time of each movement…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-01 Tian Zhou , Pengbo Xu , Weihua Deng

The phenomenon of an excitable system producing a pulse under external or internal stimulation may be interpreted as a stochastic escape problem. This work addresses this issue by examining the Morris-Lecar neural model driven by symmetric…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Yancai Liu , Rui Cai , Jinqiao Duan

When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Levy processes, which have stationary independent increments, are ideal for modelling the various types of noise that can arise in communication channels. If a Levy process admits exponential moments, then there exists a parametric family…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Xun Yang

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

This paper analyzes identifiability properties of structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models driven by independent and non-Gaussian shocks. It is well known, that SVARMA models driven by Gaussian errors are not…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-10 Bernd Funovits

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Yanping Lu

Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan

Multistable L\'evy motions are extensions of L\'evy motions where the stability index is allowed to vary in time. Several constructions of these processes have been introduced recently, based on Poisson and Ferguson-Klass-LePage series…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

Distributional properties -including Laplace transforms- of integrals of Markov processes received a lot of attention in the literature. In this paper, we complete existing results in several ways. First, we provide the analytical solution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-09 Frédéric Vrins

We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij
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