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A Markov chain $X^i$ on a finite state space $S$ has transition matrix $P$ and initial state $i$. We may run the chains $(X^i: i\in S)$ in parallel, while insisting that any two such chains coalesce whenever they are simultaneously at the…
We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…
The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…
We study the long-time behavior of decoupled continuous-time random walks characterized by superheavy-tailed distributions of waiting times and symmetric heavy-tailed distributions of jump lengths. Our main quantity of interest is the…
We describe the critical window for percolation in the universality class of sparse growing random graphs. In our models, vertices arrive sequentially and connect independently to each earlier vertex $v$ with probability proportional to a…
In dynamical critical site percolation on the triangular lattice or bond percolation on \Z^2, we define and study a local time measure on the exceptional times at which the origin is in an infinite cluster. We show that at a typical time…
We study an interacting particle system in which moving particles activate dormant particles linked by the components of critical bond percolation. Addressing a conjecture from Beckman, Dinan, Durrett, Huo, and Junge for a continuous…
In a quenched mesoscopic fluid, modelling transport processes at high densities, we perform computer simulations of the single particle energy autocorrelation function C_e(t), which is essentially a return probability. This is done to test…
The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…
The time at which a one-dimensional continuous strong Markov process attains a boundary point of its state space is a discontinuous path functional and it is, therefore, unclear whether the exit time can be approximated by hitting times of…
We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…
We study the time evolution of continuous-time quantum walks on randomly changing graphs. At certain moments edges of the graph appear or disappear with a given probability. We focus on the case when the time interval between subsequent…
A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…
We consider a sequence of Markov chains $(\mathcal X^n)_{n=1,2,...}$ with $\mathcal X^n = (X^n_\sigma)_{\sigma\in\mathcal T}$, indexed by the full binary tree $\mathcal T = \mathcal T_0 \cup \mathcal T_1 \cup ...$, where $\mathcal T_k$ is…
Recently, in ["The coin-turning walk and its scaling limit", Electronic Journal of Probability, 25 (2020)], the ``coin-turning walk'' was introduced on ${\mathbb Z}$. It is a non-Markovian process where the steps form a (possibly)…
Let $M_n$ be the number of steps of the loop-erasure of a simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ from the origin to the circle of radius $n$. We relate the moments of $M_n$ to $Es(n)$, the probability that a random walk and an independent…
The goal of this paper is an exhaustive investigation of the link between the tail measure of a regularly varying time series and its spectral tail process, independently introduced in Owada and Samorodnitsky (2012) and Basrak and Segers…
We introduce and implement an importance-sampling Monte Carlo algorithm to study systems of globally-coupled oscillators. Our computational method efficiently obtains estimates of the tails of the distribution of various measures of…
This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…
We study algorithms to analyze a particular class of Markov population processes that is often used in epidemiology. More specifically, Markov binomial chains are the model that arises from stochastic time-discretizations of classical…